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Down 12%, Should You Buy the Dip on Arista Networks Stock?
The Motley Fool· 2025-11-15 00:15
Core Viewpoint - Arista Networks is experiencing strong demand for its networking solutions, particularly in the AI infrastructure sector, but this demand is not translating into improved growth rates due to supply chain constraints and high expectations from investors [2][3][13]. Financial Performance - Arista's Q3 revenue increased by 27.5% year-over-year to $2.31 billion, with non-GAAP earnings rising by 25% to $0.75 per share, slightly exceeding analysts' expectations [4]. - The company's guidance for Q4 indicates a revenue midpoint of $2.35 billion, which is marginally above the consensus estimate of $2.33 billion [4]. - Despite the positive revenue growth, the market is reacting negatively due to high valuations, with Arista trading at 20 times sales and 51 times earnings [6][7]. Market Position and Growth Expectations - Arista's AI offerings are projected to generate $1.5 billion in revenue in 2025, accounting for approximately 17% of the expected total revenue of $8.85 billion [8]. - The company anticipates a revenue increase of 20% to $10.65 billion in 2026, but this represents a slowdown from the 26% growth expected in 2025 [8]. Supply Chain Challenges - The company is facing significant supply chain issues, with lead times for components ranging from 38 weeks to nearly a year, impacting its ability to fulfill orders [10]. - Arista's deferred revenue increased to $4.7 billion, up from $2.5 billion year-over-year, indicating strong demand but also highlighting the challenges in delivering products [11][12]. - Purchase commitments doubled year-over-year to $4.8 billion, reflecting the demand that the company is currently unable to meet due to component shortages [12]. Investor Sentiment - The market's reaction to Arista's latest earnings report has been negative, with shares falling over 12% since the results were released, as investors were expecting stronger guidance to justify the company's high valuation [3][7]. - Analysts do not foresee a significant acceleration in Arista's growth in the near term, which may keep the stock under pressure due to its rich valuation and ongoing supply constraints [15].
Time to Start Buying AI and Quantum Stocks? (IONQ, ANET, APP)
ZACKS· 2025-11-14 19:01
Core Insights - Major stock indexes are near all-time highs, but leading companies in AI and quantum computing have experienced significant corrections, indicating a market rotation [1][2] - This correction may set the stage for future advances, as many innovative companies have reached major technical support levels, presenting favorable risk-reward opportunities for investors [2][4] Group 1: Company Analysis - IonQ has seen a 50% correction over the past month but is showing signs of stabilization after testing its 200-day moving average, suggesting a potential bottom formation [5][6] - Arista Networks has retraced into a buy zone, filling a prior gap, which often attracts institutional buyers and positions the stock for a potential upward movement [9][10][11] - AppLovin, while not traditionally categorized as an AI stock, has demonstrated strong growth driven by AI enhancements and is forming a bullish consolidation pattern, indicating a potential breakout opportunity [12][13][14] Group 2: Investment Opportunities - The recent pullbacks in the AI and quantum sectors have created technically attractive levels for IonQ, Arista Networks, and AppLovin, all of which are benefiting from strong long-term growth drivers [17][18] - Investors looking to accumulate shares in leading AI infrastructure, quantum computing, and AI implementation companies may find favorable risk-reward setups at current price levels [18]
Goldman Sachs says this AI name is a better pick than Palantir stock for 2026
Invezz· 2025-11-14 12:52
Core Insights - Palantir Technologies Inc has experienced a recent pullback amid a broader sell-off in artificial intelligence stocks, primarily due to valuation concerns and macroeconomic uncertainty [1] Company Summary - The recent decline in Palantir's stock price is part of a larger trend affecting AI companies, indicating potential investor apprehension regarding high valuations in the sector [1] - Macroeconomic factors are contributing to the volatility in the AI market, impacting investor sentiment towards companies like Palantir [1]
More Of The Latest Thoughts From American Technology Companies On AI (2025 Q3) : The Good Investors %
The Good Investors· 2025-11-14 09:39
Airbnb - Airbnb's management is focusing on integrating AI across its app to enhance user experience and service offerings, aiming for a fully AI-powered platform for trip planning and booking [2][3] - The company has launched an AI customer support assistant that has reduced the need for human agents by 15%, with plans to expand its capabilities to over 50 languages by 2026 [4][6] - AI search functionality is set to roll out in 2026, allowing users to interact with the app in a conversational manner to personalize their travel experiences [7][10] - Airbnb's approach to AI emphasizes real-world connections, aiming to attract users away from screens and towards authentic experiences [8][9] - The management believes that Airbnb's unique capabilities in travel will allow it to benefit more from AI compared to other travel companies, as it does not rely on standardized products [10][11] - The company is cautious about integrating with platforms like ChatGPT, preferring to maintain its unique brand identity and avoid being seen as a commodity [11][12] - Airbnb is delaying the introduction of an advertising business until after the successful implementation of AI search, indicating a strategic approach to new revenue streams [14][15] Arista Networks - Arista Networks is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI networking solutions, with a target of $2.75 billion in AI-related revenue for 2026 [19][20] - The company is actively involved in creating open ecosystems for AI networking, collaborating with major players like NVIDIA and Oracle [17][22] - Arista's Etherlink distributed switch fabric is designed to enhance the performance of AI accelerators, showcasing its strength in AI networking [16][19] - Management sees a significant market opportunity in AI build-outs, with a total addressable market exceeding $100 billion [20] - The company is experiencing strong demand for its networking solutions, particularly in large AI data center projects, and is involved in multiple AI accelerator projects [26][29] - Arista's management acknowledges the challenges of maintaining margins with cloud and AI customers but remains optimistic about overall growth [25][32] - The convergence of front-end and back-end networking is seen as advantageous for Arista, allowing it to offer comprehensive solutions across its infrastructure [34][35] Coupang - Coupang is focused on building its internal AI computing infrastructure to enhance operational efficiency and service quality [42] - The company is testing the potential for third-party usage of its AI infrastructure but is primarily concentrating on internal applications [42] - AI is delivering tangible benefits in areas such as demand forecasting and fulfillment automation, contributing to cost savings and improved customer satisfaction [42] Datadog - Datadog has seen strong revenue growth from AI native customers, with a notable increase in the number of companies spending significantly on its services [43][44] - The management is optimistic about the future growth of AI usage across various industries, indicating a broadening customer base [44] - Datadog's Bits AI agents are generating high customer interest, with positive feedback on their efficiency and effectiveness in operations [45][46]
ANET Beating Rivals - Should You Buy?
Forbes· 2025-11-10 16:56
Core Insights - Arista Networks (ANET) is a leader in cloud networking solutions, showing strong earnings and high-margin services, which provide a competitive edge despite market volatility [2] - ANET has experienced a significant drop of 15% in a week, prompting a reassessment of its position relative to peers [3] - The company has a revenue growth of 27.8% over the past year, outperforming competitors like MSI, NTAP, CIEN, and FFIV [5] Revenue Growth Comparison - ANET has the highest operating margin among its rivals at 42.9% [5] - The stock price of ANET increased by 25.0% in the last twelve months, with a current PE ratio of 50.5 [5] Operating Margin and PE Ratio Comparison - Regular peer comparisons are essential for understanding ANET's performance, valuation, and financials [4] - The Trefis High Quality Portfolio, which includes 30 stocks, has historically outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, S&P mid-cap, and Russell 2000 indices [6]
Should You Add ANET Stock to Your Portfolio Post Solid Q3 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 15:20
Core Insights - Arista Networks, Inc. (ANET) reported strong third-quarter 2025 results, with revenues and adjusted earnings significantly increasing year over year, driven by robust demand trends and innovative product launches [1][7] Group 1: Financial Performance - Arista's Q3 revenues and earnings rose sharply, beating estimates due to strong demand trends [7] - Earnings estimates for Arista for 2025 and 2026 have increased by 1 cent each to $2.83 and $3.26, indicating optimism about the stock's growth potential [13] Group 2: Product and Market Position - Arista holds a leadership position in 100-gigabit Ethernet switches for high-speed data centers and is gaining traction in 200- and 400-gig high-performance switching products [2] - The company has introduced various products to meet the rising demands of AI/ML-driven network architectures, enhancing customer experience and engagement [3] - Arista's cloud networking solutions promise predictable performance and programmability, benefiting from the expanding cloud networking market [4] Group 3: Innovations and Acquisitions - The company has announced several additions to its multi-cloud and cloud-native software product family, including cognitive Wi-Fi software and the acquisition of Awake Security [5][8] - Unified edge innovations across wired and wireless networks have been introduced for its Cognitive Campus Edge portfolio [8] Group 4: Challenges and Risks - Arista faces high customer concentration risk, deriving a substantial portion of its revenues from a limited number of large customers [9] - Increased operating costs due to efforts in developing new technologies and supply chain redesigns have eroded margins [9] - Despite strong demand, supply bottlenecks for advanced products are impacting working capital [9] Group 5: Market Performance - Arista's stock has surged 35.6% over the past year, outperforming the industry growth of 10.1% and peers like Hewlett Packard and Cisco [10]
The Zacks Analyst Blog JPMorgan Chase, Salesforce and Arista Networks
ZACKS· 2025-11-10 07:51
Core Insights - The article highlights the performance and outlook of three major companies: JPMorgan Chase, Salesforce, and Arista Networks, as discussed in the Zacks Analyst Blog [2][4][6][9]. Group 1: JPMorgan Chase - JPMorgan Chase's shares have outperformed the Zacks Financial - Investment Bank industry year-to-date, with a return of +33.6% compared to +32.7% for the industry [4]. - The company's net interest income (NII) is projected to grow at a CAGR of 3.3% by 2027, supported by business expansion, loan demand, and interest rate changes [5]. - However, the company faces challenges such as capital markets volatility and elevated mortgage rates, which may impact fee income [5][6]. Group 2: Salesforce - Salesforce's shares have underperformed the Zacks Computer - Software industry year-to-date, with a decline of -28.6% compared to +13.8% for the industry [6]. - Despite facing stiff competition and unfavorable currency fluctuations, Salesforce benefits from strong demand for digital transformation and a focus on aligning products with customer needs [7]. - The company is expected to achieve a revenue CAGR of 8.6% through fiscal 2025-2028, driven by its expansion in generative AI offerings [8]. Group 3: Arista Networks - Arista Networks' shares have outperformed the Zacks Internet - Software industry year-to-date, with a return of +22.5% compared to +7.6% for the industry [9]. - The company reported strong Q3 2025 results, with revenues and adjusted earnings exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates, driven by robust demand trends [9]. - Arista's strategy, including the Arista 2.0 initiative, is well-received, although high concentration risk and stiff competition in cloud networking solutions pose challenges [10][11].
Arista Networks Unusual Options Activity - Arista Networks (NYSE:ANET)
Benzinga· 2025-11-07 18:03
Core Insights - Investors with significant capital have adopted a bearish outlook on Arista Networks, as indicated by unusual options trading activity [1][2] - The sentiment among large traders is predominantly bearish, with 57% of trades being puts and only 33% being calls [2] - The projected price targets for Arista Networks range from $75.0 to $210.0 based on recent options activity [3] Options Activity - A total of 42 uncommon options trades were identified for Arista Networks, with puts amounting to $2,847,057 and calls totaling $2,066,502 [1][2] - The average open interest for Arista Networks options is 1,563.15, with total volume reaching 13,238.00 in the last 30 days [4] - Notable options trades include significant bearish puts with values such as $640.0K and $590.0K [9] Company Overview - Arista Networks specializes in networking equipment, particularly Ethernet switches and software for data centers, with a focus on high-speed applications [10] - The company has gained market share since its inception in 2004 and counts major clients like Microsoft and Meta Platforms, deriving approximately 75% of its sales from North America [10] Market Ratings - Recent evaluations from market experts indicate a consensus target price of $159.75 for Arista Networks [12] - Analysts have varied ratings, with one maintaining a Neutral rating at a target price of $140, while others have Overweight ratings with targets of $171 and $183 [13]
Arista Networks Inc(ANET)FY25Q3业绩点评及业绩说明会纪要:AI业务开拓顺利,未来发展信心十足
Huachuang Securities· 2025-11-07 05:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Arista Networks Inc's FY25Q3 performance was strong, with revenue of $2.308 billion, a year - on - year increase of 27.5%. The company is confident about its future development, with AI and campus businesses as key growth drivers [3]. - The company's technology innovation in AI and cloud business, such as Etherlink and AVA, has enhanced network performance and automation. It has also formed a gradient product layout and is expanding its customer base [4]. - The company expects Q4 2025 revenue to be between $2.3 - $2.4 billion, with a gross margin of 62% - 63% [4][11]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs ANET2025Q3 Performance 25Q3 Performance Overview - Revenue in 25Q3 was approximately $2.31 billion, a year - on - year increase of 27.5%, achieving 19 consecutive quarters of record - breaking growth. Non - GAAP gross margin was 65.2%, down 40bps quarter - on - quarter and up 60bps year - on - year. Operating profit was $1.12 billion, accounting for 48.6% of revenue, and net profit was $962.3 million, accounting for 41.7% of revenue. Diluted shares were 1.277 billion, and EPS was $0.75, a year - on - year increase of 25% [7]. Business Segment Performance - **AI Business**: Progressed smoothly, with a target revenue of $1.5 billion in 2025 and $2.75 billion in 2026, becoming a key growth engine [3][8]. - **Campus Business**: Performed strongly, with a target revenue of $750 - 800 million in 2025 and $1.25 billion in 2026, achieving a record - high single - quarter result this quarter [3][9]. - **Other Businesses**: Core network businesses in traditional fields such as cloud and enterprise grew steadily with market demand, and the growth of product - related deferred revenue reflected strong market demand for new products and AI solutions [10]. 2025Q4 Company Performance Guidance - The company expects Q4 revenue to be between $2.3 - $2.4 billion, gross margin between 62% - 63%, operating margin about 47% - 48%, actual tax rate about 21.5%, and diluted shares about 1.281 billion [11]. Meeting Content - **Growth Trend**: Shipments and revenues fluctuate with supply, and there is no problem with demand. The revenue in Q2 2025 exceeded expectations, so quarterly fluctuations are not over - interpreted. The difference in product gross margins is due to the customer structure, not a change in the 2026 gross margin model [12]. - **Gross Margin Drivers**: Service and software profit margins were overestimated. The product profit margins of cloud and AI giants are significantly lower than 60%, while those of enterprise customers are higher. A higher proportion of cloud and AI products in the portfolio puts pressure on the gross margin [13]. - **Company Positioning**: Participating in 5 - 7 accelerator rack projects, with related designs to be promoted in 2026 and implemented in 2027. Adopting the "Blue Box JDM model" instead of the traditional OEM model [14]. - **Customer - related Issues**: - In cloud giant customers, the share is stable. Procurement decisions are jointly made by LLM providers and cloud giants [15]. - Three of the four core customers have completed the deployment of over 100,000 GPU clusters, and the fourth is about to achieve it. Fluctuations in Q4 shipments are supply - driven [16]. - **Business Outlook**: - AI and campus businesses are high - growth tracks, while the core business may have flat or low - single - digit growth. The company is confident of achieving over $10 billion in revenue in 2026 and a future target of $15 billion [18][19]. - The Blue Box business has a slightly lower gross margin than branded EOS devices. It targets professional cloud providers and key customers, and its development trend in 2026 will continue [20][23]. - The front - end and back - end networks are increasingly converging, and the company is the only one outside China to cover both, which is a core differentiating advantage [21]. - The company offers both DSF and non - scheduling architectures, and DSF is attracting more attention [22]. - The UEC released the 1.0 specification in June 2025, and the company's products are fully compatible. The expansion of the alliance and the implementation of specifications in 2026 - 2027 are key milestones [25]. - Emerging cloud厂商customers have great growth potential, and some initially use bundled solutions but more choose to cooperate with the company [26][27]. - The enterprise market focuses on three breakthrough directions: campus business, geographical expansion, and new customer acquisition [28]. - The company's core growth engine is new network construction in AI - driven data centers [29]. - The company plans differently for different business lines to ensure delivery capabilities [30].
Arista Networks Stock To $200?
Forbes· 2025-11-06 17:45
Core Insights - Arista Networks Inc. (NYSE: ANET) experienced a nearly 9% stock decline following cautious management commentary on near-term cloud spending, but the company remains a strong growth story in enterprise networking [2][3] - The company benefits from increasing demand for high-speed data center infrastructure, AI-driven cloud architecture, and upgrades from major clients like Microsoft and Meta [2] - Arista's fundamentals are solid, characterized by an asset-light model, robust margins, and a strong balance sheet, despite short-term market volatility [2] Valuation - Arista Networks has a market capitalization of $177 billion and is currently trading at $140.42, with a potential target price of $184 suggested [3][5] - The stock is considered attractive but volatile, reflecting its very high valuation despite strong operating performance and financial health [3][5] Growth - The company has achieved an average annual growth rate of 29.4% over the past three years, with revenues increasing by 28% from $6.6 billion to $8.4 billion in the last year [10] - Quarterly revenues rose 27.5% to $2.3 billion in the latest quarter, up from $1.8 billion a year ago [10] Profitability - Arista's operating income totaled $3.6 billion, reflecting an operating margin of 42.9%, and a cash flow margin of 49.0%, generating approximately $4.1 billion in operating cash flow [10] - The company achieved nearly $3.4 billion in net income, indicating a net margin of about 39.7% [10] Financial Stability - Arista Networks has no debt, resulting in a Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 0.0%, and holds $10 billion in cash out of total assets of $18 billion, yielding a Cash-to-Assets Ratio of 56.0% [10] Resilience - The stock has shown greater resilience compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, with significant recoveries following declines [7][11] - For instance, ANET stock declined 38.4% from a peak in December 2021 but fully regained its pre-crisis high by March 2023 [11]