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Get Your Money Out of These 3 Retail Stocks by October
Investor Place· 2024-07-23 00:15
Group 1: Market Outlook - There is significant optimism for Q4 2024 among retail investors, driven by the prospect of US Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, potentially lowering rates to 4.75% by the end of 2024 [1] - Historically, the S&P 500 has shown strong performance in Q4, growing 77% of the time since 1945 and averaging a gain of 3.8% during this quarter, supported by increased consumer spending [1] Group 2: Macy's Inc (M) - Macy's has faced challenges in its post-pandemic recovery, currently over 75% below its 2015 highs, and announced the closure of 150 stores due to shifts in consumer behavior [3][4] - A potential $6.9 billion buyout by Arkhouse Management and Brigade Capital Management fell through, leading to a 15% drop in Macy's stock, indicating high volatility and uncertainty for the retailer [3] Group 3: Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) - Lowe's has historically provided consistent value for investors, but recent insider selling of $1.5 million worth of stock raises concerns about future performance [5] - Despite beating Q1 2024 earnings estimates, Lowe's net income fell over 20% year-over-year to $1.76 billion, suggesting a potential market correction due to a slowdown in DIY spending [6] Group 4: Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) - Costco has experienced over 50% growth in the first half of 2024 but faced a dip following a membership fee increase, the first since 2017, raising individual fees from $60 to $65 and executive fees from $120 to $130 [7] - The stock may enter a volatile phase as investors reassess their long-term holding strategies following the fee hike [8]
Top Wall Street analysts are confident about the potential behind these 3 stocks
CNBC· 2024-07-21 11:40
Core Viewpoint - The stock market is currently facing challenges due to macro pressures, upcoming elections, and geopolitical tensions, but long-term investment opportunities exist for those who can focus on stocks with attractive return prospects [1] Group 1: Costco Wholesale - Costco Wholesale has announced an increase in its membership fees, raising the "Gold Star" membership by $5 to $65 and the "Executive Membership" from $120 to $130, effective September 1 [2] - Jefferies analyst Corey Tarlowe reiterated a buy rating on COST stock and raised the price target to $1,050 from $860, viewing the membership fee hike as a favorable catalyst for the stock and earnings [2][3] - Historically, Costco has increased membership fees every 5.5 years, and Tarlowe expects the fee hike to enhance sales and earnings, estimating a nearly 3% benefit to earnings per share over the next two years [3] Group 2: MongoDB - MongoDB's stock experienced a decline after the company provided weak guidance for the fiscal second quarter and lowered its full-year outlook, attributing this to a slower-than-expected start to the year [4] - Tigress Financial analyst Ivan Feinseth lowered the price target on MDB stock to $400 from $500 but maintained a buy rating, viewing the sell-off as a buying opportunity [4] - Feinseth is optimistic about MongoDB's growth, particularly with the integration of AI capabilities and expansion into major verticals such as healthcare and automotive production [5] Group 3: Nvidia - Nvidia is benefiting from increased demand for its advanced graphics processing units due to the generative AI wave, with Goldman Sachs analyst Toshiya Hari reiterating a buy rating and a price target of $135 [7] - Following a meeting with Nvidia's CFO, Hari expressed confidence in the sustainability of the ongoing generative AI spending cycle and Nvidia's ability to maintain its market dominance through innovation [7][8] - The analyst expects significant revenue contributions from Nvidia's next-generation AI graphics processor, Blackwell, in Q4 FY25 and Q1 FY26, while noting limited contributions in Q3 FY25 [8]
Will Costco Stock Soar After Its Membership Fee Hike? Here's What History Says.
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-20 08:30
Core Viewpoint - Costco has announced an increase in membership fees, which is expected to boost revenue but may also risk losing some members [1][4]. Group 1: Membership Fee Increase - Costco will raise its standard and premium membership fees by $5 to $65 for Gold Star and business memberships, and by $10 to $130 for Executive memberships, affecting 52 million memberships [4]. - The increase in membership fees is significant as it contributes to a steady stream of high-margin revenue for the company [2][3]. Group 2: Historical Performance - Historically, Costco's stock has performed well following past membership fee increases, with gains of 32% after the last hike in 2017, 43% after the 2011 hike, and 33% after the 2006 increase [5]. - Membership fees are a key part of Costco's profit structure, contributing over $1.1 billion to revenue in the most recent quarter, despite net sales of $57 billion [3]. Group 3: Business Model Resilience - Costco's business model, characterized by low prices on essential goods and a membership fee structure, has allowed it to thrive in various economic conditions [2]. - The company maintains high renewal rates of over 90% in the U.S. and Canada, indicating strong customer loyalty despite fee increases [3]. Group 4: Future Outlook - While there is a possibility of losing some members due to the fee increase, it is expected that most members will continue to see value in the deals offered at Costco [6]. - The historical trend suggests that Costco's shares are likely to perform well in the coming years, making it a strong long-term investment opportunity [7].
If You Can Only Buy One Blue-Chip Stock in July, It Better Be One of These 3 Names
Investor Place· 2024-07-17 17:09
Core Viewpoint - The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record high of 40,720.64 on July 15, 2024, but the 30 blue-chip stocks in the index have only increased by 8% this year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500. This shift indicates a changing landscape in blue-chip investments, with technology and consumer discretionary stocks emerging as more favorable options for long-term growth [1]. Group 1: Company Comparisons - Costco (COST) is highlighted as a superior blue-chip investment compared to Coca-Cola (KO), with Costco's stock returning 427% over the past 7.5 years, compared to Coca-Cola's 54% [2]. - Costco announced an increase in its annual membership fee to $65 for individual Gold Star and business members, and to $130 for premium memberships, marking the first fee increase since 2017 [3]. - TJX Companies (TJX) is recommended as a better alternative to McDonald's (MCD), with Q1 2024 earnings per share of 93 cents, a 22.4% increase year-over-year, and revenue of $12.48 billion, up 5.9% [4][5]. - Pinterest (PINS) is suggested as a better blue-chip stock than Walt Disney (DIS), with a 150% increase in earnings in Q1 2024 and projected revenue growth of 19.5% per quarter [6][7]. Group 2: Market Performance and Trends - The Dow 30 stocks are no longer seen as the best long-term investments, with technology stocks like Nvidia (NVDA) gaining more attention for their growth potential [1]. - Costco's strategy of maintaining low prices while generating profits from membership fees contrasts with beverage companies that have significantly raised prices [3]. - TJX's conservative guidance and favorable buying environment suggest potential for continued stock performance despite slight misses in analyst expectations [5]. - Pinterest's focus on AI and shopability is driving revenue growth, positioning it well for future performance compared to Disney [7].
3 Unstoppable Stocks That You Can Buy and Hold for Years
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-17 12:15
These blue chip stocks are leaders within their respective industries.One thing that can make investing seem daunting and intimidating is how quickly things change in the markets. Knowing which stocks to own and which ones are hot buys right now can turn investing into a part-time job. But if you stick with large, established businesses that have bright futures, it doesn't have to be that complicated or difficult. There are many investments you can buy and hold for years and not worry about.Three stocks tha ...
3 Reasons to Buy Costco Stock Like There's No Tomorrow
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-17 10:47
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale's stock has increased by 614% over the last decade, significantly outperforming competitors like Walmart and Target, which saw increases of 170% and 155% respectively [1] - The company has a strong customer loyalty with a 90% global membership renewal rate, contributing to its reputation as a reliable long-term investment option [1] Membership Fee Increase - Costco announced its first membership fee hike in seven years, raising the basic membership by $5 to $65 and the executive tier by $10 to $130, effective September 1 [3] - This change is expected to impact approximately 52 million paid memberships, potentially leading to a significant earnings boost [3] - The company has implemented additional measures to promote revenue growth, such as requiring membership cards for food court access and I.D. at the register to prevent membership sharing [3] E-commerce Expansion - Costco operates 878 locations worldwide and has opened 17 new warehouses since last year, with over 80% of its stores in North America, indicating potential for further expansion [5] - The e-commerce segment saw a revenue increase of 21% in the fiscal third quarter of 2024, alongside a 32% rise in app downloads and a 28% increase in Costco Logistics deliveries [5] - The global e-commerce market is projected to grow from $19 trillion in 2022 to $48 trillion by 2030, presenting significant growth opportunities for Costco [6] Advertising Network Development - Costco is developing an advertising network that will leverage membership data for targeted advertising, aiming to enhance revenue diversification [6] - The retail media space is projected to reach $166 billion by 2025, positioning Costco to capitalize on this growing industry [7] Valuation Metrics - Costco's price/earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio has decreased by 58% over the past year, indicating that the stock remains a value compared to its growth potential [8] - A lower PEG ratio suggests that Costco's stock could be a worthwhile investment opportunity [8]
Is Costco Wholesale (COST) Outperforming Other Retail-Wholesale Stocks This Year?
ZACKS· 2024-07-16 14:41
Group 1 - Costco is currently outperforming the Retail-Wholesale sector with a year-to-date return of 28.6%, compared to the sector's average return of 13.8% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco's full-year earnings has increased by 0.9% over the past 90 days, indicating improved analyst sentiment [2] - Costco holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [1][2] Group 2 - Costco is part of the Retail - Discount Stores industry, which ranks 60 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average gain of 18.3% this year [3] - Walmart, another outperforming stock in the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a year-to-date return of 32.5% and belongs to the Retail - Supermarkets industry, currently ranked 19 [2][3] - Both Costco and Walmart are expected to continue their strong performance, making them noteworthy for investors in the Retail-Wholesale sector [3]
Here's How Much Money Costco Stands to Make From Its Fee Hike
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-16 12:41
After seven years, it's raising its membership fee.It was the announcement investors had been waiting for. Last week, Costco Wholesale (COST 0.69%) finally said that it would raise its membership fee by $5 starting Sept. 1.That increase isn't likely to affect members. But $5 extra for every single one of Costco's tens of millions of members is a lot of money for the company. Let's see how much, and why investors are greeting this news so enthusiastically.Why raise it now?Costco last raised its fee in 2017, ...
Costco's Latest Brilliant Move
The Motley Fool· 2024-07-16 09:00
Costco is increasing membership prices and that could be a huge boon to the bottom line.Costco's (COST 0.69%) membership model is a great example of a business that's nearly impossible for competitors to copy. Once members commit to the annual fee, they have an incentive to spend more at Costco than competitors because of the low prices. But to boost profits Costco needs to increase its membership fees, which it just did. Travis Hoium examines the move in this video.*Stock prices used were end-of-day prices ...
Costco's (COST) Membership & Pricing Strength Drive Performance
ZACKS· 2024-07-15 15:26
Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) continues to impress investors and shoppers alike with its robust business model and strategic pricing. The company's membership-based approach and commitment to offering high-quality products at unbeatable prices have positioned it as a leader in the sector.Robust Membership ModelCostco's success lies in its membership-based business model, which generates a reliable revenue stream and fosters strong customer loyalty. Members pay an annual fee for access to Costco's ware ...