3. 甲骨文(ORCL.US)在其关键的 450 亿至 500 亿美元融资中取得了强劲的初步成功。 智通财经APP获悉，Wedbush重点介绍了阻止科技股下滑和人工智能"幽灵交易"带来的不利影响的十大 因素。 由Dan Ives领导的分析师团队表示："如今，'人工智能威胁到所有行业……软件行业首当其冲，被视为 头号敌人'的说法在市场上甚嚣尘上。人工智能一直是科技和软件行业，尤其是那些对未知事物感到恐 惧的人的通病。对于看涨者来说，这就像是在与幽灵搏斗，而仅今年一年，人工智能的资本支出就接近 7000亿美元……人们担心人工智能初创公司会成为科技行业的噩梦。" 分析师补充说，人工智能技术行业正处于一个不稳定的十字路口，现在是科技领军企业发挥领导作用的 时候了。 Wedbush分析师们列出了他们认为最能推动科技人工智能交易走高的十大科技新闻： 1. OpenAI完成 1000 亿美元的融资，平息了外界的喧嚣。 2. 英伟达(NVDA.US)首席执行官黄仁勋在下周的电话会议上重申人工智能芯片的巨大需求轨迹，并超 过华尔街的预期。英伟达计划于2月25日公布其第四财季业绩。 4.赛富时(CRM.US)公布的收益/业绩指引 ...

Core Insights - Salesforce (CRM) is set to release its fourth-quarter fiscal 2026 results on February 25, with expected revenues between $11.13 billion and $11.23 billion, indicating an 11.7% increase year-over-year [1] - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $3.02 to $3.04, reflecting a 9% increase from the previous year [2] Revenue and Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is $11.17 billion, while the consensus for non-GAAP EPS remains at $3.03 [1][2] - Salesforce has consistently beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in the past four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.9% [3] Factors Influencing Q4 Results - Salesforce's strong positioning is attributed to its focus on digital transformation and cloud solutions, which align with global business needs [6] - The demand for generative AI-enabled cloud solutions has significantly contributed to revenue growth, enhancing customer engagement and competitive positioning [7] - The company's expansion in key geographic markets and the public sector has unlocked new growth opportunities [8] Strategic Initiatives - Recent acquisitions, including Waii, Convergence.ai, and Zoomin, have enhanced Salesforce's capabilities and diversified its revenue base, likely driving higher subscription revenues [10] - Ongoing cost restructuring initiatives have improved profitability, with a non-GAAP operating margin increase of 240 basis points to 35.5% in the third quarter [11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Salesforce's shares have declined by 40.2%, underperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry, which saw an 11.3% decline [12] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month P/E of 14.17X, significantly lower than the industry average of 27.7X, indicating a potential investment opportunity [15][19] Investment Thesis - Salesforce maintains its leadership in the customer relationship management market and is evolving into a broader enterprise platform focused on AI, data, and collaboration [20] - The introduction of AI initiatives, such as Einstein GPT and Agentforce, has solidified its competitive edge, with Agentforce generating $540 million in recurring revenues, a 330% year-over-year increase [21][22] - The combination of strong market positioning, aggressive AI expansion, and lower valuation multiples suggests that Salesforce is a solid investment option [23]

格隆汇2月20日｜加拿大蒙特利尔银行将赛富时的目标价从275美元下调至235美元。 ...

The stock market can’t make up its mind.On one hand, it is fretting over the hundreds of billions of dollars being spent on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure. Tech giants such as Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META), and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) have collectively earmarked over US$600 billion in capital expenditure for 2026 alone, a figure that comfortably surpasses Singapore’s entire GDP.Investors are asking: will all this spending ever pay off?On the oth ...

Core Insights - Founder-led companies have a significant impact on the global economy, despite representing less than 5% of the S&P 500, accounting for nearly 15% of its total market capitalization [3][5] - These organizations often reflect the personal values and long-term aspirations of their founders, which can anchor sustainable growth [2][4] - Research indicates that founder-led companies tend to outperform those led by non-founders, with a Harvard Business Review study showing a 12% market-adjusted return over three years compared to a negative 26% for non-founder-led firms [5] Company Highlights - **NVIDIA Corporation**: - Market capitalization of approximately $4.58 trillion, recognized as a leader in visual computing and GPUs [7] - Focused on artificial intelligence technologies, with significant growth in sectors like gaming, healthcare, and automotive [8] - Data center division is a major growth driver, benefiting from increasing global demand for cloud infrastructure [9] - **Palantir Technologies**: - Market capitalization of about $322.7 billion, specializing in advanced software platforms for the intelligence community [11] - Differentiates itself in the AI market by delivering scalable, production-ready solutions [12] - Strong alignment with U.S. defense priorities enhances its position as a trusted partner in national security [13] - **Salesforce**: - Market capitalization of about $179 billion, leading in the CRM market and focusing on AI and data collaboration [15] - Maintained the 1 CRM provider status for 11 consecutive years, demonstrating the strength of its cloud-based solutions [16] - Expanding generative AI offerings and pursuing acquisitions to strengthen its market position [17]

Earnings Reports - A variety of companies are set to announce quarterly results, including Domino's Pizza, C3.ai, Dell Technologies, Home Depot, Nvidia, Salesforce, and others [2] Economic Data Releases - Key economic data to be released includes factory orders, the S&P Case-Shiller home price index, wholesale inventories, consumer confidence data, and the producer price index (PPI) for January [3][4] Federal Reserve Speeches - Several Federal Reserve officials, including Christopher Waller, Austan Goolsbee, Raphael Bostic, and Lisa Cook, are scheduled to deliver speeches throughout the week [3]

Group 1: Company Performance - Salesforce (CRM) shares fell 29.1% year-to-date, underperforming the Dow by 32.5 percentage points, despite reporting Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue of $10.26 billion and raising full-year guidance to $41.45 billion to $41.55 billion [1][2] - Microsoft (MSFT) experienced a 17.4% decline in stock price, lagging the Dow by 20.8 percentage points, even after reporting Q2 revenue of $81.3 billion, a 17% year-over-year increase, and Azure growth of 39% [1][2] - UnitedHealth (UNH) saw a 12.7% drop in stock value, trailing the Dow by 16.1 percentage points, with Q4 2025 revenue of $113.22 billion missing estimates and operating income plummeting 95% to $380 million [1][2] Group 2: Market Sentiment and Trends - The divergence in performance between these companies and the Dow reflects a broader market sentiment where fundamentals alone do not drive returns, as investors reassess structural assumptions regarding AI, healthcare regulations, and capital expenditures [2] - Concerns over AI's impact on traditional software demand have led to a sell-off in software stocks, with Salesforce's valuation being questioned despite a projected 14.7% growth in business software spending in 2026 [1][2] - Microsoft's significant capital expenditures of $29.9 billion in Q2, up 89% year-over-year, raised investor concerns about whether this would translate into expected growth rates, contributing to stock price declines [1][2] Group 3: Financial Metrics - Salesforce's revenue grew 8.6% year-over-year, but shares dropped from $264.91 to $187.79 between December 31, 2025, and February 18, 2026 [1] - Microsoft reported a free cash flow decline of 9.3% despite strong operating cash flow growth, indicating potential challenges in maintaining profitability amid high capital expenditures [1] - UnitedHealth's net income fell to $10 million, down 99.8% year-over-year, highlighting the fragility of its Medicare Advantage model amid regulatory pressures and increased medical costs [1][2]

Core Viewpoint - Salesforce (CRM) has experienced significant selling pressure, resulting in a 15.3% decline in stock price over the past four weeks, but analysts anticipate better-than-expected earnings in the near future [1] Group 1: Technical Analysis - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is utilized to determine if a stock is oversold, with a reading below 30 indicating oversold conditions [2] - CRM's current RSI reading is 29.64, suggesting that the heavy selling may be exhausting itself and a trend reversal could be imminent [5] - RSI serves as a momentum oscillator that helps identify potential price reversals, indicating that investors may seek entry points for a rebound [3] Group 2: Fundamental Analysis - Analysts have raised earnings estimates for CRM, leading to a 0% increase in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, which typically correlates with price appreciation [7] - CRM holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), placing it in the top 20% of over 4,000 ranked stocks based on earnings estimate revisions and EPS surprises, indicating a strong potential for a turnaround [8]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that Salesforce, as a pioneer of the SaaS business model, is expected to face challenges amid the current downturn in the SaaS industry [1] Group 2 - The investment strategy focuses on identifying companies with strong qualitative attributes, purchasing them at favorable prices based on fundamentals, and maintaining long-term holdings [2] - The approach involves managing a concentrated portfolio aimed at minimizing losses while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners [2]

Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) is focusing on its Agentforce platform to rejuvenate revenue growth, which has recently slowed to single digits after years of strong double-digit increases [1][10] Revenue Growth - In fiscal 2026, Salesforce's revenue growth rates for the first three quarters were 7.6%, 9.8%, and 8.6% year over year [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate predicts revenue growth of 9.5% and 10.7% for fiscal 2026 and 2027, respectively [5] Agentforce and AI Integration - Salesforce is developing a broader ecosystem centered on artificial intelligence (AI), data, and collaboration, with Agentforce as a key component [2] - The Agentforce platform, combined with Data Cloud, generated $1.4 billion in recurring revenues in Q3 of fiscal 2026, marking a 114% year-over-year increase [3] - Agentforce alone contributed $540 million in recurring revenues, reflecting a 330% year-over-year growth [3] Booking Trends - Salesforce reported a current remaining performance obligation of $29.4 billion at the end of Q3 fiscal 2026, an 11% increase year over year, driven by larger deals and early renewals [4][10] - Over 50% of Agentforce deals originated from existing clients, indicating effective cross-selling of AI features [4] Competitive Landscape - Microsoft and ServiceNow are also advancing AI automation in the enterprise market, with Microsoft integrating AI features into Dynamics 365 and ServiceNow deploying AI tools for IT service management [6][7] Valuation and Performance - Salesforce's shares have decreased by 40.9% over the past year, compared to a 17.1% decline in the Zacks Computer – Software industry [8] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 14.37, significantly lower than the industry average of 21.96 [12] - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2026 and 2027 suggest year-over-year increases of approximately 15.3% and 10.4%, respectively, with recent upward revisions [15]