Core Viewpoint - Halliburton (HAL) is currently viewed as a macro barometer, with stock performance likely to improve with better demand conditions, but it is not seen as an obvious buy at this time [1] Group 1: Company Insights - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and markets lacking obvious competitive advantages [1] Group 2: Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance as competition diminishes [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited number of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premiums [1]

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market experienced a decline on November 4, with technology stocks leading the drop, influenced by notable short-selling activities by Michael Burry, who has bet over $1 billion against companies like Nvidia [2] Summary by Relevant Categories Company Actions - Michael Burry has invested approximately $1.1 billion in put options for Nvidia and Palantir Technologies, indicating a strategy to profit from potential declines in their stock prices [2] - In addition to the bearish positions, Burry also purchased call options for Halliburton and Pfizer, suggesting a mixed investment strategy [2] Market Impact - The decline in the stock market was particularly pronounced in the technology sector, reflecting investor sentiment influenced by Burry's significant short positions [2]

Core Insights - Halliburton Company (HAL) is one of the largest oilfield service providers globally, with a market cap of $22.9 billion, offering a range of services to the energy sector [1] Financial Performance - HAL's stock has underperformed the broader market, with a year-to-date decline of 1.4% and a 52-week drop of 4.7%, while the S&P 500 Index gained 15.1% in 2025 and 18.5% over the past year [2] - The company also lagged behind the iShares U.S. Oil Equipment & Services ETF, which saw a 2.2% increase in 2025 and a 2.9% rise over the past year [3] - Following the release of better-than-expected Q3 results on October 21, HAL's stock surged 11.6%. The company's Q3 revenue decreased 1.7% year-over-year to $5.6 billion but exceeded expectations by 4%. Adjusted net income fell 22.6% year-over-year to $496 million, while adjusted EPS of $0.58 surpassed consensus estimates by 16% [4] Future Outlook - For the full fiscal year 2025, analysts project HAL to deliver an adjusted EPS of $2.16, reflecting a 27.8% year-over-year decline. However, the company has a strong earnings surprise history, exceeding bottom-line projections in the last four quarters. The consensus rating among 24 analysts is a "Moderate Buy," with 13 "Strong Buys," three "Moderate Buys," and eight "Holds" [5] - A month ago, the stock had a "Strong Sell" rating, indicating a more optimistic outlook now [6] - On November 3, Rothschild & Co analyst initiated coverage on HAL with a "Buy" rating and set a price target of $35. The mean price target of $29.59 suggests a 10.4% premium, while the highest target of $41.50 indicates a potential upside of 54.8% from current levels [7]

Core Insights - Halliburton Company (HAL) has seen a decline of 1.1% over the past year, while Ranger Energy Services, Inc. (RNGR) has outperformed with a rise of 9.2% [1] Company Performance - RNGR is a leading well-service provider in the U.S. domestic market, generating significant revenues from its High-Specification Rigs business segment despite a substantial decline in rig counts for drilling activities [4][5] - HAL operates globally and reported positive progress in both onshore and offshore markets, indicating a more diversified business model compared to RNGR [6] Financial Health - RNGR boasts a strong balance sheet with zero net debt and has returned approximately 43% of its free cash flow to shareholders since Q2 2023 [8] - HAL has a higher debt exposure with a debt-to-capitalization ratio of 41.7%, but it maintains financial discipline through share buybacks and cost-cutting measures [9] Capital Allocation Strategies - RNGR is more aggressive in returning capital to shareholders, while HAL focuses on generating cash flows through disciplined cost control [11] - HAL's trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA ratio is 6.49, indicating a premium valuation compared to RNGR's 3.31, reflecting HAL's diversified operations and stability [12] Investment Considerations - Investors seeking stability and lower risk may prefer HAL, while those willing to take on higher risks with expectations of strengthening onshore service activities may consider RNGR [15]

Core Insights - Halliburton has introduced its Remote Operated Controls Systems (ROCS) technology, significantly advancing deepwater operations and signing a strategic agreement with Shell for umbilical-less tubing hanger services [1][15] - ROCS technology is set to revolutionize well-completion challenges in harsh deepwater environments, demonstrating its effectiveness in various regions [2][4] Technology Overview - ROCS, developed by Optime, outperforms traditional hydraulic systems in deepwater well-completion, offering a compact and umbilical-less alternative that enhances safety and efficiency [3] - The technology has achieved a global benchmark by successfully installing a tubing hanger at 8,458 feet, marking the deepest umbilical-less operation in history [4] Efficiency and Safety - ROCS accelerates running-in and pulling-out-of-hole procedures, reducing deck operations by up to 75%, leading to significant cost savings and enhanced safety [5] - The technology improves downhole line tests, allowing for more accurate results and quicker decision-making, thereby reducing human error [6] Proven Performance - ROCS has been deployed in challenging environments, including the Norwegian Continental Shelf, West Africa, and the Gulf of America, demonstrating consistent performance and reliability [7] - Successful trials in the Gulf of America validated ROCS as a viable alternative to traditional methods, showcasing its ability to perform in deepwater conditions [8] Future Outlook - As the demand for efficient and reliable technologies in deepwater exploration grows, ROCS is well-positioned to meet these needs, marking a significant milestone in offshore drilling [9][10] - The partnership between Halliburton and Shell highlights the industry's shift towards safer and more efficient operations, with ROCS poised to become the standard in deepwater well-completion [11]

Core Insights - Halliburton has signed a framework agreement with Shell to provide services for the installation and retrieval of tubing hangers without traditional umbilicals, utilizing Halliburton's remote operated controls system (ROCS) technology [1][4] - The ROCS technology has been successfully implemented in various regions, achieving a record installation depth of 8,458 feet, marking the deepest umbilical-less operation to date [2] - The technology enhances efficiency by reducing deck operations by up to 75% and improving safety during installations, indicating a significant shift in deep-water operations [3] Technology and Implementation - ROCS technology, developed by Optime, allows for quicker procedures in running in and pulling out of holes compared to traditional methods [2] - The recent operation in partnership with Aker BP tested Halliburton's enhanced remote operated control system alongside the optime tubing hanger orientation system for subsea control and completions [4] Market Position and Future Outlook - The agreement with Shell positions Halliburton's ROCS as a reliable and cost-effective alternative to conventional methods, suggesting potential for broader adoption across global rig fleets [3]

Core Insights - Halliburton's shares surged 25% in five days, outperforming the S&P 500's 1.7% increase, following solid Q3 2025 performance, indicating a company preparing for the next oilfield cycle [2][11] Financial Performance - Q3 2025 revenue was approximately $5.6 billion, a 2% decrease year-over-year, while adjusted earnings per share were $0.58, reflecting a 21% drop from the previous year, both exceeding analyst forecasts [3] Cost Management - Halliburton's cost-saving initiative generates approximately $100 million each quarter, reaffirming the company's commitment to operational efficiency amid fluctuating pricing [5] Backlog and Revenue Visibility - The current backlog exceeds $10 billion, indicating a strong pipeline of secured projects, which enhances revenue visibility and demand durability, particularly in long-term international contracts [6] Technological Advancements - Over half of Halliburton's active U.S. frac fleet is now operated by the Zeus electric system, representing a shift towards lower-emission, higher-efficiency operations, which enhances reliability and aligns with decarbonization goals [7][8] Supply-Side Discipline - The company is idling or retiring non-economic equipment, demonstrating a disciplined approach to capacity management, which prioritizes returns over market share and strengthens pricing power [9] International Expansion - Halliburton has secured major international contracts, including a five-year project in the North Sea and multi-year agreements in Kuwait and Colombia, reinforcing its commitment to higher-margin, less cyclical markets [10] Strategic Positioning - Despite revenue and EPS exceeding expectations, the underlying narrative focuses on structural advancements, with management curbing costs, enhancing the international portfolio, and leveraging technology to sustain profitability [11]

Group 1 - Halliburton Company (NYSE:HAL) experienced a significant share price increase of 19.22% week-on-week, driven by a positive outlook for its international business despite disappointing earnings in Q3 [1][2] - The company reported a 97% decline in attributable net income, dropping to $18 million from $571 million year-on-year [3] - Revenues decreased by 1.7% to $5.6 billion compared to $5.697 billion in the previous year, with a 2.3% decline in completion and production revenues, while drilling and evaluation revenues remained flat [4] Group 2 - Halliburton has set a cost-saving goal of $400 million starting next year, aiming to return cash to shareholders, maintain capital discipline, and invest in technology for long-term performance [3]

Summary of Global Oil Services Conference Call Industry Overview - The report discusses the **Global Oil Services** industry, focusing on the outlook for 2H25 and FY26, highlighting both positive and negative signals in the market [1][2]. Key Insights 1. **Financial Strength**: The industry is currently in a strong financial position, although it is trading at historically low multiples. Many investors have not capitalized on the O&G capex recovery from 2022-24 [1][2]. 2. **Conflicting Signals**: There are concerns regarding oil supply and price stability, with questions about whether oil will remain oversupplied and if prices might decline. Additionally, there are indications of weakening International/Offshore activity, which could be exacerbated by high consensus expectations [1][2]. 3. **US Market Activity**: The Dallas Fed survey indicates a rapid deterioration in US activity expected in 4Q25, despite a stabilizing rig count. Current consensus expectations for the US market are low [1][2]. 4. **Optimism from Key Players**: Companies like GTT and Viridien express optimism ahead of 3Q25, contrasting with the overall cautious sentiment [1][2]. Regional Activity Recovery 1. **Diverging Opinions**: There are differing views on whether North America or international markets will lead the recovery. SLB suggests North America will remain constrained due to economic challenges, while Halliburton believes it is positioned for recovery [3][4]. 2. **Investment Implications**: The outlook for 2026-27 is more positive than generally perceived, with potential catalysts for the sector. The report suggests that 4Q25 may represent a low point for North America, and given the sector's low valuation (approximately 1.3x EV/Revenue), there is significant upside potential for various stocks [4][6]. Preferred Investment Calls - **Next 6 Months**: GTT (Target Price €193), Viridien (Target Price €94), SLB (Target Price $47.60) - **Next 12 Months**: SBM (Target Price €24), Rubis (Target Price €38.7), Vallourec (Target Price €22.6), Tenaris (Target Price €21) - **Next 18 Months**: Adnoc Drilling (Target Price AED6.76), Saipem (Target Price €3.54), Subsea (Target Price NOK240) - Notably, GTT, SBM, and Rubis are largely de-correlated from oil prices [6]. Conclusion - The Global Oil Services industry is at a critical juncture with mixed signals regarding future activity and investment opportunities. The financial strength of the sector, combined with low valuations, presents potential upside for select stocks, while regional disparities in recovery expectations highlight the complexity of the market landscape [1][4][6].

Core Insights - Halliburton reported revenue of $5.6 billion for the quarter ended September 2025, a decrease of 1.7% year-over-year, but exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.96% [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) were $0.58, down from $0.73 in the same quarter last year, but surpassed the consensus estimate of $0.50 by 16% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Latin America revenue was $996 million, exceeding the average estimate of $962.97 million, with a year-over-year decline of 5.4% [4] - Europe/Africa/CIS revenue reached $828 million, surpassing the estimated $754.3 million, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 14.7% [4] - North America revenue was $2.36 billion, above the average estimate of $2.16 billion, showing a slight decline of 0.9% year-over-year [4] - Middle East/Asia revenue totaled $1.41 billion, below the average estimate of $1.51 billion, with a year-over-year decrease of 8.1% [4] Segment Performance - Drilling and Evaluation revenue was $2.38 billion, exceeding the average estimate of $2.28 billion, with a year-over-year decline of 0.9% [4] - Completion and Production revenue was $3.22 billion, above the average estimate of $3.11 billion, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.3% [4] - Operating income for Completion and Production was $514 million, surpassing the estimated $447.21 million [4] - Operating income for Drilling and Evaluation was $348 million, exceeding the average estimate of $337.72 million [4] - Corporate and other operating income reported a loss of $64 million, better than the estimated loss of $70.99 million [4] Stock Performance - Halliburton shares returned +10.4% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating expected performance in line with the broader market [3]