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Bubble Warning: Don't Buy IonQ Stock Until It Falls to This Price
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-10 06:20
Core Viewpoint - IonQ's current stock valuation is significantly disconnected from its fundamental performance, raising concerns about its sustainability in the market [1][4]. Company Overview - IonQ is focused on developing quantum computers for commercial applications, with ambitions to dominate the quantum computing market akin to Nvidia's position in AI accelerator chips [2]. - The company anticipates revenues between $106 million and $110 million for 2025, while its market capitalization stands at approximately $18.3 billion, resulting in a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 166 [4]. Market Sentiment and Valuation - The stock has seen a substantial increase of over 40% in the past year and around 1,000% over the last three years, reflecting strong investor interest in quantum computing [1]. - Despite the optimism surrounding quantum computing, the technology is still in its infancy, facing significant challenges such as high error rates and the need for effective quantum error correction [3]. Financial Metrics - IonQ's current market cap of $19 billion and share price of $54.44 indicate a high valuation compared to its projected revenues [10]. - For comparison, Nvidia trades at about 20 times its estimated 2025 revenue, suggesting that IonQ's market cap would need to decrease by approximately 88% to align with a more reasonable valuation, potentially pricing shares between $6 and $7 [9]. Risks and Challenges - The high valuation of IonQ leaves it vulnerable to significant declines if the anticipated advancements in quantum computing do not materialize or if the company fails to capture a substantial market share [7]. - Uncertainties regarding the timeline for practical quantum computing applications and the company's profitability further complicate its investment appeal [7][11].
Quantum Stocks Poised for a Fresh Breakout (IONQ, QBTS, RGTI)
ZACKS· 2025-12-09 19:11
Core Viewpoint - Momentum is returning to the quantum computing sector, with IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, and Rigetti showing significant breakouts after a challenging period [1][2][14]. Group 1: Market Activity - IonQ, D-Wave Quantum, and Rigetti have all staged meaningful breakouts, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment towards the quantum computing sector [1][2]. - The stocks have formed tight bull flag patterns, suggesting that the initial breakouts are not one-off events but may lead to further upward movement [2][14]. Group 2: Stock Performance - IonQ's stock has shown constructive behavior post-breakout, trading sideways in a tight consolidation, which is characteristic of a bull flag [5][6]. - D-Wave Quantum's breakout was strong, with the stock forming a compressed bull flag and showing persistent demand during consolidation [8][9]. - Rigetti's stock has also demonstrated constructive behavior, forming a bullish wedge and finding support during small dips [11][12]. Group 3: Buy Triggers - A breakout above $55 for IonQ would confirm the continuation of its upward trend, while a close above this level with increasing volume would reinforce the bullish signal [6]. - For D-Wave Quantum, a move through $28.70 would signal the next phase of the trend, with a closing above this level increasing the odds of sustained continuation [9]. - Rigetti would signal a price advance with a push above $26.60, while a breakdown below $27.15 would invalidate the current setup [12]. Group 4: Overall Sector Outlook - The recent breakouts in IONQ, QBTS, and RGTI mark the end of a correction and the beginning of renewed momentum in the quantum computing sector, with all three stocks trading in bullish continuation patterns [14][15].
1 Quantum Computing Stock That Should Be on Every Investor's Holiday List
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-09 17:00
This leader could help you build wealth.Quantum computing is billed as the next wave of growth for the tech sector beyond artificial intelligence (AI). This is an important and emerging technology with the potential to create a large industry, estimated to be worth $1 trillion over the next 20 years.IonQ (IONQ 0.35%) is currently the largest pure-play quantum computing company, and the stock is acting like a true market leader. It has skyrocketed 936% over the past three years. Here's why the stock should b ...
Quantum Computing Outlook Shines: 2 Stocks to Watch Heading into 2026
ZACKS· 2025-12-08 21:01
Core Insights - The year 2025 has seen significant advancements in quantum computing, with clearer engineering roadmaps and major capital commitments from key players like IBM and Amazon [1][2] - Investor expectations have shifted towards near-term commercialization, with increased capital deployment anticipated in 2026 [3] Company Developments - IBM launched a new quantum data center and outlined a multi-year plan for fault-tolerant systems, boosting market confidence [1] - Amazon's AWS introduced the Ocelot quantum chip, which aims to reduce error-correction overhead by up to 90% [1] - Honeywell's Quantinuum raised approximately $600 million, achieving a valuation close to $10 billion, supported by a DARPA contract [2] - Google's 105-qubit Willow chip achieved a significant milestone by demonstrating a quantum advantage, reportedly 13,000 times faster than classical supercomputers for molecular simulations [2] - IonQ reported a remarkable 222% year-over-year revenue growth in Q3 2025, achieving a world-record 99.99% two-qubit gate fidelity [7][10] - D-Wave's Advantage2 system, a 4,400+ qubit quantum computer, became available for real-world applications, with revenues increasing by 100% year-over-year [11][12] Market Trends - The momentum in quantum computing suggests a rise in customer engagements and collaborations between industry and government, particularly in materials science and pharmaceuticals [3] - Both IonQ and D-Wave are projected to experience strong earnings and sales growth in 2026, reflecting the active progress made in 2025 [9][13] Financial Performance - IonQ's stock has gained 26.1% year-to-date, with expectations of 66.2% earnings growth and 69% sales growth in 2026 [10] - D-Wave's stock surged 221.4% year-to-date, with projected earnings growth of 9.3% and sales growth of 61.3% in 2026 [13]
IonQ Expands in EU With Slovakia's First National Quantum Communication Network
Businesswire· 2025-12-08 12:05
COLLEGE PARK, Md.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--IonQ (NYSE: IONQ), the world's leading quantum company, through its subsidiary ID Quantique (IDQ), today announced the deployment of Slovakia's first national quantum communication network. Developed in partnership with the Institute of Physics, Slovak Academy of Sciences (IPSAS), the new system features a resilient hybrid architecture designed to strengthen the country's cybersecurity infrastructure and support Europe's quantum digital programs. The Slovak Q. ...
3 Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-08 12:00
Industry Overview - Quantum computing is currently not commercially viable and is expected to take a few more years to reach relevance [2] - The industry has experienced two boom-and-bust cycles, with significant hype in late 2024 and a notable decline in October and November 2025 [1][2] Company Analysis: Alphabet - Alphabet is identified as a leading player in quantum computing, leveraging its cash flows from other successful ventures to invest in this technology [4] - The Willow quantum computing chip has achieved significant milestones, including delivering the first verifiable quantum advantage, completing tasks 13,000 times faster than the fastest supercomputer [5][6] - Alphabet's strong financial position, with a market cap of $3,877 billion and a gross margin of 59.18%, provides a safety net for investors [7] Company Analysis: IonQ - IonQ's business model is highly dependent on the success of its quantum computing technology, presenting a high-risk, high-reward scenario for investors [8] - The company utilizes a trapped ion approach, achieving a two-qubit gate fidelity of 99.99%, which is superior to many competitors [9][11] - IonQ has a market cap of $19 billion but faces significant risks, as failure could lead to a total loss of investment [10][11] Company Analysis: Nvidia - Nvidia is not directly competing in quantum computing but focuses on providing advanced GPUs, which are essential for AI workloads [12] - The company has introduced NVQlink, allowing quantum computing firms like IonQ to integrate with existing GPU ecosystems, ensuring Nvidia's relevance in a hybrid computing future [14][15] - Nvidia's market cap stands at $4,433 billion, with a gross margin of 70.05%, indicating a strong financial position [13]
Prediction: The Quantum Computing Bubble Will Burst in 2026, and These 3 Stocks Will Go Down With It
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-08 11:45
Core Viewpoint - Quantum computing stocks are experiencing unsustainably high valuations, driven by hype rather than substantial technological advancements or customer traction [3][8][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - Since the launch of ChatGPT in late 2022, shares of the Roundhill Generative AI & Technology ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust have increased by 137% and 84% respectively, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [1]. - Quantum computing stocks, particularly IonQ, Rigetti Computing, and D-Wave Quantum, have surged over 1,000% since the onset of the AI revolution [6]. Group 2: Valuation Concerns - Current valuations of quantum computing stocks are compared to the dot-com bubble era, where companies had inflated price-to-sales (P/S) ratios without sustainable business models [11][13]. - Quantum computing pure plays are trading at P/S ratios significantly higher than those of leading companies during the dot-com bubble, which peaked at 31 to 51 for firms like Microsoft and Amazon [15]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The rise in quantum computing stock prices is largely attributed to speculative trading and hype in online forums, transforming these stocks into "meme stocks" [9]. - Despite significant investments in acquisitions and new technologies, companies like IonQ, Rigetti, and D-Wave have not achieved meaningful technological breakthroughs or substantial enterprise customer traction [8]. Group 4: Future Outlook - There is a belief that a correction in quantum computing stock prices is likely, with indications that insiders at D-Wave and Rigetti are selling shares, suggesting a lack of confidence in sustained high valuations [17][18]. - The expectation is that quantum computing stocks may experience a significant decline in 2026, with pure plays being particularly vulnerable [18].
These 4 Quantum Computing Pure-Play Stocks Can Soar Up to 264% in 2026, According to Select Wall Street Analysts
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-05 08:51
Core Insights - Wall Street analysts are projecting significant upside for quantum computing stocks, with some estimates suggesting gains of up to 264% by 2026, despite concerns about the realism of these targets [3][5][6] Group 1: Market Performance - Over the past year, quantum computing stocks such as IonQ, Rigetti Computing, D-Wave Quantum, and Quantum Computing Inc. have seen substantial gains, with Rigetti's peak increase reaching nearly 5,400% [2] - As of December 2, IonQ's stock closed below $47, while Rigetti's and D-Wave's stocks closed at levels that suggest potential increases of 113% and 114% respectively [4][5] Group 2: Analyst Projections - Analysts from B. Riley Securities and Needham have set price targets for IonQ and Rigetti at $100 and $51 respectively, indicating significant upside potential based on their current prices [4] - Ascendiant analyst Edward Woo has the most optimistic projection for Quantum Computing Inc., forecasting a 264% increase to $40 per share [5] Group 3: Industry Potential - The Boston Consulting Group estimates that quantum computing could generate up to $850 billion in global economic value by 2040, highlighting its long-term potential [6] - The technology is expected to take time to mature, similar to past innovations like the internet, which required years for businesses to fully leverage [8] Group 4: Financial Concerns - All four quantum computing companies are currently unprofitable and experiencing significant cash burn, raising concerns about their financial sustainability [10][15] - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for these companies are alarmingly high, with IonQ at 146 and Quantum Computing Inc. at nearly 2,900, indicating potential overvaluation and a bubble risk [12] Group 5: Competitive Landscape - The emergence of large tech companies, referred to as the "Magnificent Seven," poses a threat to the market share of smaller quantum computing firms, as these companies have the resources to develop their own quantum technologies [14][15]
Forget IonQ: Alphabet is a Much Better Bet on Quantum Computing.
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-05 05:30
Core Insights - Quantum computing is emerging as a significant investment opportunity alongside artificial intelligence, with companies focusing on this technology seeing substantial stock price increases [1][4] - IonQ has experienced an 800% stock price increase over the past three years, driven by its trapped-ion computing method, which offers longer functionality and higher accuracy [2] - Despite IonQ's impressive revenue growth of 222% in the most recent quarter, it remains unprofitable, indicating that practical applications of quantum technology may take time to materialize [2][5] Company Analysis - Alphabet is highlighted as a more stable investment option compared to IonQ, as it has established revenue streams from its advertising and Google Cloud businesses, which are already generating significant profits [3][5] - Alphabet's market capitalization stands at $3,833 billion, with a current stock price of $317.22, reflecting a gross margin of 59.18% and a dividend yield of 0.26% [7] - The company is actively developing quantum computing technology, having announced its quantum chip, Willow, which has achieved key milestones in error reduction and computational speed [7] Investment Rationale - Investing in Alphabet provides exposure to potential growth in quantum computing while benefiting from the security of a well-established company with a proven business model [8] - The complexity and challenges of quantum computing suggest that while the technology holds promise, its full realization may not be imminent, making companies like Alphabet more attractive for investors seeking stability [5]
Why IonQ Stock Jumped 12.5% Today
The Motley Fool· 2025-12-04 21:10
Core Viewpoint - China is rapidly advancing in the quantum computing race, potentially catching up to the U.S. [1][3] Company Summary - IonQ Inc's shares increased by 12.5% to $6.11, with a market cap of $17 billion [2] - The stock's 52-week range is between $17.88 and $84.64, indicating significant volatility [2] - The recent rally in quantum stocks was initially sparked by rumors of potential direct investments from the Trump administration [2] Industry Summary - John Martinis, a Nobel Prize winner, expressed concerns that the U.S. is only "nanoseconds ahead" of China in quantum computing [3] - The U.S. administration is shifting focus to quantum technology after prioritizing artificial intelligence [3] - Despite advancements, quantum computing remains largely in the research phase, with uncertainties about its practical applications compared to classical systems [5]