Market Overview - The market is experiencing a positive trend, but movement remains sideways with limited volatility observed this week [1] - There is a heavy rotation trade occurring, indicating a shift in market leadership expected in 2026 [2] Technology Sector Analysis - The technology sector, which has performed well over the past three years, is anticipated to struggle this year, suggesting a need to reduce exposure to this area [3][4] - Recent volatility in technology stocks, such as Data Dog and Palantir, indicates that any significant bounce should be viewed as an opportunity to reallocate investments [5][6] - The IGV index has already declined by 20% this year, reflecting high earnings expectations for technology stocks that may not be met [7] Economic Sensitivity and Sector Performance - Economically sensitive sectors, including industrials, home builders, small caps, and regional banks, have shown strong performance, with increases of 9% to 12% at the start of the year [12] - The disparity in returns suggests that large institutions may be forced to sell concentrated technology positions and redirect funds into stronger sectors [12] Housing Market Outlook - The housing market is expected to perform well due to underbuilding and supportive government policies, with specific interest in companies like Toll Brothers [14][15] - While significant monthly increases are not expected, continued outperformance relative to technology and the S&P is anticipated [16] Interest Rates and Inflation Expectations - Current interest rates are seen as conducive to economic growth and housing recovery, with expectations that inflation data will show a deceleration [17] - Anticipated labor market weakness and declining inflation could lead to increased probabilities of rate cuts in March [19][20]

Core Insights - Palantir Technologies reported strong Q4 2025 results, showcasing significant growth in the AI sector, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 70% [2][4] - The stock has appreciated over 30% in the past year, despite a decline in early 2026 [1] Financial Performance - Palantir's Q4 revenue reached $1.41 billion, exceeding management's guidance of $1.327 billion to $1.331 billion [2] - Adjusted earnings per share rose from $0.14 to $0.25 [2] - Revenue growth has accelerated for ten consecutive quarters, with growth rates increasing from 13% in Q2 2023 to 70% in Q4 2025 [3] Revenue Breakdown - U.S. commercial revenue surged 137% to $507 million, with remaining deal value increasing 145% to $4.38 billion [4] - Total contract value for U.S. commercial deals reached $1.34 billion, marking a 67% year-over-year increase [4] - Government revenue grew 60% year over year to $730 million, with U.S. government revenue climbing 66% to $570 million [6] Customer Metrics - Net revenue retention stood at an impressive 139%, indicating strong expansion among existing customers [5] - The customer count increased by 34%, reflecting successful acquisition strategies [5] Future Projections - For Q1 2026, Palantir projects revenue between $1.532 billion and $1.536 billion, representing 74% growth at the midpoint [7] - The full-year revenue forecast is between $7.182 billion and $7.198 billion, indicating 61% growth at the midpoint, with U.S. commercial revenue expected to rise by at least 115% [7]

周二美股成交额第1名特斯拉收高1.89%，成交271.5亿美元。特斯拉公司周二任命其欧洲业务的一位负 责人来负责全球电动汽车销售，这是该公司陷入困境的汽车业务的最新领导层变动。 据知情人士透露，特斯拉欧洲、中东和非洲（EMEA）业务副总裁Joe Ward将领导公司的销售、服务和 交付组织。 第2名英伟达收跌0.79%，成交257.77亿美元。日前有消息称三星电子将提前开始大规模生产新一代高带 宽存储芯片。三星计划本月启动HBM4芯片的大规模生产，为英伟达下一代AI加速器Vera Rubin供货。 据报道，这款芯片的处理速度较前代HBM3E提升约22%，数据传输速率可达11.7 Gbps。 第3名微软收跌0.08%，成交186.1亿美元。据媒体周二报道，特朗普打算让亚马逊、谷歌和微软等公司 免受即将对芯片征收的关税影响，因为这些公司正在竞相建设为人工智能繁荣提供动力的数据中心。 另外有报道称，特朗普政府希望科技公司承诺加入一项关于人工智能数据中心的新协议。这份协议草案 列出了相关承诺，以确保数据中心不会推高家庭用电价格、不会使水资源紧张，也不会破坏能源电网。 第5名美光收跌2.67%，成交131.99亿美元。德 ...

We're back on Morning Trade Live. Let's focus on Palunteer. The stock is moving higher this morning after an upgrade.More on that in a second. But Palanteer has suffered from the broader selloff in the software sector. It's down nearly 20% here in 2026 and more than 30% off November's all-time high.It's trading up about 1% right now, 144 and change. So, Palanteer is the focus of the morning trade. Joining us now as always for a closer look is Marley Kaden.Very good morning to you Marley. So, we've got Daiwa ...

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) stock is struggling in 2026. Although the business itself remains in great shape, investors aren't buying it up as rapidly as they were last year. As of Monday's close, the data analytics stock has fallen by 20%. While the stock market has been a bit shaky, the S&P 500 is still in positive territory, up around 2%. What may be puzzling to Palantir investors is that it's doing so poorly, even as the company posted strong quarterly results, yet again. Why is the stock str ...

Coca-Cola - Coca-Cola reported mixed earnings, beating adjusted EPS expectations at 58 cents per share compared to the expected 56 cents, but revenue fell short at $11.8 billion against the anticipated over $12 billion [2] - The company issued a modest growth forecast, projecting organic revenue growth of 4-5% and EPS growth of 7-8%, which is seen as steady but not aggressive, contributing to an 8% decline in shares [3][4] - Analysts noted signs of slower consumer demand, with budget-conscious shoppers cutting back on discretionary spending, impacting Coca-Cola's total volume for 2025, which was flat [5] - Despite overall volume challenges, premium brands like Smart Water and Coke Zero Sugar showed growth, with Coke Zero Sugar experiencing a 13% increase in volume [7][8] Semiconductor Industry - A semiconductor company reported a sharp drop in fourth-quarter profit, with adjusted EPS beating expectations at 64 cents per share versus the anticipated 62 cents, while revenue fell 11% to $1.53 billion [11] - The company highlighted growth in its smaller intelligent sensing unit, indicating potential stabilization in key markets, which may suggest moderation in the semiconductor downturn [13] Palantir - Palantir received an upgrade from Daiwa, moving from neutral to buy, despite a 30% pullback from recent highs, with a new price target of $180, indicating confidence in its growth story [15][16] - The upgrade reflects strength in US operations and demand from both government and commercial sectors, with the analytics platform gaining traction [16]

Upgrades - Raymond James upgraded Take-Two (TTWO) to Strong Buy from Outperform with an unchanged price target of $285, viewing the recent selloff as overdone and presenting a more attractive risk/reward scenario for the company [2] - Daiwa upgraded Palantir (PLTR) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $180, down from $200, citing a positive impression from the earnings release [2] - Gordon Haskett upgraded Booking Holdings (BKNG) to Buy from Hold with a price target of $5,440, believing that investors have overreacted to AI-driven competitive concerns and have discounted Booking's operational advantages [3] - Oppenheimer upgraded Unity (U) to Outperform from Perform with a price target of $38, arguing that fears regarding competition from "world models" like Google's Project Genie are misplaced and overlook Unity's unique role in development [4] - Arete upgraded Snap (SNAP) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $7.30, noting a shift in the company's sales growth from a "sub-scale" advertising business to higher margin, recurring subscription income [5] Downgrades - HSBC downgraded Estee Lauder (EL) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $106, stating that Estee's "modest" organic sales upgrade in the quarter underwhelmed investors relative to expectations [6] - Citi downgraded Under Armour (UAA) to Sell from Neutral with an unchanged price target of $6.20, indicating that the company's turnaround in North America is facing "several pressures" in fiscal 2026 [6] - Raymond James downgraded Wingstop (WING) to Outperform from Strong Buy with an unchanged price target of $325, expressing caution regarding Wingstop's near-term sales trends [6] - Truist downgraded Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $188, down from $206, believing that beef price inflation will persist at least through 2027, limiting multiple expansion and pressuring margins and earnings estimates [6] - Loop Capital downgraded Monday.com (MNDY) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $80, down from $195, citing a "fine, but not great" quarter amid moderating upmarket momentum and slower adoption of newer products [6] - Baird also downgraded Monday.com to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $90, down from $175 [6]

Group 1: Palantir (PLTR) - Palantir's revenue for the next fiscal year is projected to reach $7.19 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus of $6.22 billion by over 15% and indicating a yearly revenue increase above 60% [2] - The company secured a significant $10 billion, 10-year contract with the U.S. Army, consolidating 75 AI agreements, along with a $500 million deal with the Navy [3] - Palantir's net dollar retention has increased to 139%, indicating existing customers are spending 39% more annually [2] - The stock is currently trading at $142.94, reflecting a 22.53% gain over the past year [4] Group 2: Symbotic (SYM) - Symbotic is focusing on warehouse automation with AI-powered robots for sorting, storage, and retrieval, already utilized by major retailers like Walmart and Target [7] - The acquisition of Walmart's Advanced Systems and Robotics business has broadened Symbotic's customer base and allowed exploration into e-commerce fulfillment systems [8] - The AI-enabled e-commerce market is expected to grow from $8.65 billion to $22.6 billion by 2032, presenting significant revenue potential for Symbotic [9] - Symbotic's stock is currently priced at $62.54, showing a remarkable 121.85% increase over the past year [9] Group 3: CoreWeave (CRWV) - CoreWeave specializes in cloud infrastructure for AI model training, inference, and deployment, distinguishing itself from general-purpose platforms like AWS and Google Cloud [11] - The company has become a critical infrastructure partner for major players in the sector, including Nvidia, which invested $2 billion in CoreWeave [12] - U.S. data center capacity is projected to fall short of demand by approximately 10 gigawatts annually through 2028, highlighting the need for specialized infrastructure like CoreWeave's [13] - CoreWeave's stock is currently valued at $96.79, reflecting a 141.92% increase over the past twelve months [13] Group 4: Investment Outlook - Each of the three companies offers exposure to long-term trends in artificial intelligence and automation, with expanding customer bases and strategic partnerships [15]

Core Viewpoint - Software stocks are expected to rebound from historic lows as the market has overly pessimistic expectations regarding AI's short-term disruption of the software industry, according to JPMorgan strategists [1][5]. Group 1: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - The software sector has fallen to its lowest level since the market turmoil in April last year [4]. - Concerns over new AI tools potentially disrupting traditional Software as a Service (SaaS) business models have led to sustained pressure on U.S. software stocks [1][5]. - The recent sell-off did not differentiate between companies with AI partnerships or proprietary data assets, affecting nearly all related software companies equally [1]. Group 2: Company Resilience and Long-term Outlook - Companies like Microsoft and CrowdStrike are highlighted as resilient players in the AI space, likely to benefit from AI-enhanced workflow efficiencies [5]. - The high switching costs and long-term contracts in enterprise software provide a buffer against short-term disruptions [5]. - The long-term fate of traditional software companies in the face of AI remains uncertain, but current market pessimism appears to be an overreaction [5]. Group 3: Analyst Perspectives - Analysts from Morgan Stanley believe that U.S. tech stocks still have room for further gains, and the decline in software stocks has created an attractive entry point [5]. - Wedbush analysts argue that the market's reaction to AI risks is excessive, suggesting that the current sell-off implies an extreme assumption of widespread AI disruption, which is not feasible [6]. - The caution of enterprise clients regarding AI migration is emphasized, as many are reluctant to expose core data to immature new platforms [6]. Group 4: AI Integration and Market Dynamics - The narrative that AI will replace entire enterprise software stacks is overly simplistic; the value density of enterprise software lies in proprietary data and compliance structures [8][9]. - AI is more likely to integrate as embedded tools within existing software platforms rather than completely replacing them [6][9]. - The current sell-off reflects a market response to the question of how much profit pools in SaaS will be redistributed due to AI [10]. Group 5: Future Indicators and Investment Strategy - The rebound in software stocks may depend on two hard indicators: the speed of real deployment and payment expansion by enterprises, and the elasticity of SaaS companies' AI-related product revenues [10]. - Companies with strong data assets and solid fundamentals, such as Microsoft, MongoDB, Snowflake, Palantir, and SAP, are likely to experience a robust rebound post-panic [10].

Core Viewpoint - The stock of Palantir has experienced a slight upward movement despite a reduction in its price target, indicating mixed market sentiment and potential for future price recovery [1][2]. Short-Term Analysis - The stock has shown positive momentum after bouncing from a support level around 128, although the upward movement has been described as "less than awesome" [2][4]. - A volume gap identified in the volume profile suggests potential for the stock price to rise back towards the 158 resistance area [3][4]. Long-Term Analysis - A significant head and shoulders reversal pattern has been observed, with the price target previously set around 200 but now lowered to 180 [5][6]. - The break of the 158 support level, which served as the neckline of the reversal pattern, led to a drop to 128, but the stock has since rallied back, indicating a possible completion of the bearish reversal pattern [6][7]. - Technical analysis suggests that the measured move from 158 to 128 may be nearing its limit, with the RSI indicating a potential reversal [6][7].