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Uber's Q4: Market Is Selling, I'm Buying
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 23:34
Uber Technologies, Inc. ( UBER ) released its Q4 results , and the market didn't like it very much, with the stock falling about 4%. Since I didn't think it was such a weak earnings report, I addedEquity Research Analyst with a broad career in the financial market, covered both Brazilian and global stocks. As a value investor, my analysis is primarily fundamental, focusing on identifying undervalued stocks with growth potential. Feel free to reach out for collaborations or to connect!Analyst’s Disclosure: I ...
How to play the stock market now, Charles Schwab CEO on crypto investing and prediction markets
Youtube· 2026-02-04 22:35
Market Overview - The market is mixed, with the Dow up 336 points (0.7%) while the NASDAQ is down over 1% [1] - The S&P 500 is down 0.21%, but the equal-weighted S&P 500 is performing better, indicating strength in smaller stocks [1] - The Dow transports have surged 2.5% over the last three days, up nearly 8% since the ISM manufacturing report [1] Sector Performance - Materials sector is leading with a 2.4% increase, followed by real estate and energy sectors, which is up over 15% year-to-date [1] - The healthcare, staples, and financials sectors are also showing gains of more than 1% [1] - The tech sector is under pressure, with significant declines in major stocks like Tesla (down 3%), Broadcom (down 4%), and AMD (down 16%) [1] Earnings Growth Forecast - Morgan Stanley forecasts a 17% earnings growth for the S&P 500 this year, driven by positive operating leverage and improved pricing power [2] - The median stock in the Russell 3000 is experiencing a 13% year-over-year earnings growth, the best in four years [2] Valuation Insights - Current valuation is extended historically, with the median stock in the S&P trading at a three-turn discount to the cap-weighted index [2] - Historical data suggests that when earnings growth exceeds 8% and the Fed funds rate declines, market multiples tend to expand 90% of the time [2] Investment Opportunities - Small caps and consumer discretionary sectors are highlighted as areas of opportunity, with the S&P 600 small cap index showing 10% earnings growth, the best since 2022 [2] - Consumer discretionary is favored due to improving unit demand and pricing, alongside a fiscal tailwind of $65 billion expected in 2026 [2] Tech Sector Analysis - Despite recent pressures, the fundamental setup for large-cap tech remains intact, with revenue revisions at 20-year highs [2] - The market is rewarding high capital expenditure to sales behavior, benefiting AI enablers and hyperscalers [2] Crypto Market Dynamics - The crypto market has seen significant volatility, with Bitcoin down approximately 40% from its October highs, raising concerns about leverage and liquidity [5] - Tokenization is expected to gain traction in 2026, with tokenized treasuries and stocks showing substantial growth [6] Ford's EV Strategy - Ford's US vehicle sales dropped about 5% in January, with EV sales collapsing by approximately 70% [5] - The company is working on a universal EV platform expected to be profitable by 2027-2028, while also exploring partnerships with Chinese OEMs [5] Uber's Business Model - Uber reported strong fourth-quarter results, with bookings up 22% and revenue up 20%, but guidance weighed on stock performance [5] - The long-term risk for Uber lies in the evolution of autonomous vehicles and potential market share loss to vendors like Waymo and Tesla [5]
AMD Forecast Fails to Impress Investors | Bloomberg Tech 2/4/2026
Youtube· 2026-02-04 21:32
Group 1: AMD's Sales Forecast and Market Reaction - AMD shares fell significantly, down 15%, marking its largest drop since October 2018, following a disappointing sales forecast of approximately $9.8 billion, which was below investor expectations of $10 billion [3][4][27]. - The company's revenue from China impacted margins negatively, and while revenues were recognized, the overall performance did not meet the high expectations set by the market [5][6]. - The anticipated growth in CPU and GPU segments is not expected until the second half of the year, leading to a cautious outlook among investors [7][8]. Group 2: Broader Market Trends and Software Sector Concerns - The technology sector is experiencing a selloff, with fears of disruption following the introduction of a new AI automation tool by Anthropic, leading to a significant decline in the Goldman Sachs Software Index, which has lost around $2 trillion since its peak [11][57]. - Concerns about the impact of AI on software companies are prevalent, with many investors reassessing valuations and business models in light of rapid advancements in AI technology [57][59]. - Major companies like NVIDIA and Google are also feeling the pressure, with NVIDIA's stock down and Google facing scrutiny ahead of its earnings report [12][16]. Group 3: NVIDIA's Investment in OpenAI - NVIDIA is reportedly close to finalizing a $20 billion investment in OpenAI, which would be part of a larger commitment potentially reaching $100 billion [46][48]. - This investment is seen as a strategic move to strengthen NVIDIA's position in the AI market, although details regarding the overall agreement are still being finalized [49][50]. - The relationship between NVIDIA and OpenAI is crucial for NVIDIA's long-term strategy, particularly in terms of chip usage for AI model training [69]. Group 4: Uber's Financial Outlook and New Initiatives - Uber's stock fluctuated, down 3% in premarket trading, as the company provided a weak profit outlook and announced a new CFO focused on future markets, including robotaxi initiatives [20][21][25]. - The adjusted EPS forecast for the first quarter was lower than expected, attributed to new product initiatives that have not yet yielded anticipated returns [22][23]. - Despite these challenges, underlying demand in the U.S. remains strong, and Uber expects growth to accelerate as previous risks, such as high insurance costs, are expected to abate [23][24]. Group 5: Antitrust Concerns in Streaming Industry - The Senate Committee is holding hearings on the future of self-driving cars, with significant attention on the merger between Netflix and Warner Brothers, which raises antitrust concerns [26][29]. - The merger is argued to create value for consumers and enhance opportunities for the creative community, although competitive concerns remain [31][32]. - The regulatory landscape is complex, with different standards applied in the U.S. and the EU regarding consumer benefits and competitive effects [40][41]. Group 6: Supply Chain Innovations and Market Dynamics - A new startup, Auger, founded by former Amazon supply chain chief Dave Clark, aims to provide an operating system for supply chains, emphasizing the need for contextual data integration [71][75]. - The startup is focused on addressing the challenges of disconnected data in supply chains, which is critical for operational efficiency [76][84]. - Auger's approach is seen as timely, given the current market dynamics and the increasing importance of supply chain management across various industries [80][82].
Uber's mixed fourth quarter report keeps analysts on the sidelines
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2026-02-04 20:57
About this content About Emily Jarvie Emily began her career as a political journalist for Australian Community Media in Hobart, Tasmania. After she relocated to Toronto, Canada, she reported on business, legal, and scientific developments in the emerging psychedelics sector before joining Proactive in 2022. She brings a strong journalism background with her work featured in newspapers, magazines, and digital publications across Australia, Europe, and North America, including The Examiner, The Advocate, ...
Uber Misses Earnings Estimates Despite Record Cash Flow And Strong Growth
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-04 20:39
Core Insights - Uber Technologies, Inc. reported fourth-quarter 2025 earnings that fell short of analyst expectations despite achieving double-digit revenue growth and record cash flow generation [1] - The company posted adjusted earnings per share of $0.71, missing the consensus estimate of $0.80 by 11% [1] - Revenue reached $14.4 billion, slightly above analyst expectations of $14.32 billion, marking a 20% year-over-year increase [1] Financial Performance - Quarterly trips increased by 22% to 3.8 billion, while gross bookings rose by 22% to $54.1 billion [2] - Uber generated record operating cash flow of $2.9 billion during the quarter and free cash flow of $2.8 billion, representing a 65% year-over-year increase [2] - Adjusted EBITDA rose by 35% to $2.5 billion, with margin improving to 4.6% of gross bookings from 4.2% a year earlier [2] Future Outlook - The company's first-quarter 2026 outlook disappointed investors, forecasting non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 to $0.72, below the consensus estimate of $0.75 [3] - Gross bookings are expected to range from $52.0 billion to $53.5 billion, representing constant-currency growth of 17% to 21% [3] - By segment, Mobility revenue rose by 19% year over year to $8.2 billion, Delivery revenue increased by 30% to $4.9 billion, and Freight revenue remained flat at $1.27 billion [3]
UBER Q4 Earnings Miss Estimates, Decrease Year Over Year
ZACKS· 2026-02-04 20:20
Key Takeaways UBER's Q4 EPS of $0.71 missed estimates and fell 77.8% year over year, even as revenue topped forecasts.Uber saw Mobility drive 57% of revenue, while Delivery grew 30% year over year and Freight stayed nearly flat.UBER's Q4 adjusted EBITDA jumped 35%, total gross bookings beat guidance.Uber Technologies (UBER) reported mixed fourth-quarter 2025 results, wherein earnings missed the Zacks Consensus Estimate while revenues surpassed the mark. Quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of 71 cents missed ...
Ignore the EPS Miss: UBER Bull Case in Deliveries & Uber One
Youtube· 2026-02-04 19:00
It's time now for our 360 round. For that, let's bring in our panel to discuss Uber shares under pressure after the company reported weaker than expected earnings. Right now, trading down about 3 and 3/4%.Joining us now to help us break down these numbers, David Clement, North American affairs manager at Consumer Choice Center, and Jamie Meyers, analyst at Lafer Tangler Investments. Thank you both for being with us. Jamie, let's start with you.You know, what were some of your key takeaways from the report w ...
Uber Stock Falls on Earnings and Guidance Miss. Robo-Taxis Are the Wild Card.
Barrons· 2026-02-04 18:30
Uber Stock Falls on Earnings and Guidance Miss. Robo-Taxis Are the Wild Card. - Barron'sSkip to Main ContentThis copy is for your personal, non-commercial use only. Distribution and use of this material are governed by our Subscriber Agreement and by copyright law. For non-personal use or to order multiple copies, please contact Dow Jones Reprints at 1-800-843-0008 or visit www.djreprints.com.# Uber Stock Falls on Earnings and Guidance Miss. Robo-Taxis Are the Wild Card.By [Nate Wolf]ShareResize---ReprintsI ...
Uber reports 20% revenue growth in fourth-quarter, fueled by food delivery
CNBC Television· 2026-02-04 17:15
Fourth quarter results out from Uber. Want to tell you what's going on here. Company reporting earnings of 71 cents a share.Revenue coming in at 14.37% billion. Now that's slightly ahead of expectations. Adjusted Eva dots toting about $2.5% billion.That's also above estimates. On the segment side, mobility revenue coming in below forecast though, while delivery sales topped consensus. gross bookings for the quarter reaching $54.1% billion versus estimates of $53.1% billion. Looking ahead in terms of where t ...
Tech Sell-Off Weighs on Broader Market, Dow Defies Trend Amid Key Earnings and Economic Data
Stock Market News· 2026-02-04 17:07
Market Overview - The U.S. stock market is experiencing mixed trading patterns with a notable rotation out of technology giants and into broader market sectors [1] - The S&P 500 has slipped around 0.2% to 0.3%, marking a modest decline for the fourth time in the last five days [2] - The Nasdaq Composite has traded approximately 1% lower, with the Nasdaq 100 specifically seeing a 1.4% loss [2] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average has risen by as much as 389 points, or 0.8%, indicating a shift away from tech stocks towards firms expected to benefit from improving growth prospects [2] Economic Indicators - The yield on 10-year Treasuries has remained steady at 4.28% [3] - Upcoming economic data includes the ADP Employment Change and ISM Services PMI for January, which are crucial for assessing the labor market and services sector [5] - The week will culminate with the U.S. Employment Report on February 6th, which includes non-farm payrolls and average hourly earnings [6] Company-Specific Highlights - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) shares dropped by as much as 15.7% despite stronger-than-expected profits, indicating high expectations for AI-related companies [9] - Uber Technologies (UBER) fell 3% to 5% after its quarterly results and profit forecast fell short of expectations [10] - Super Micro Computer (SMCI) rallied by 12% to 14% after delivering stronger-than-expected profits [10] - Eli Lilly (LLY) surged by 9.2% after exceeding profit expectations and providing strong guidance, driven by its obesity drugs [11] - Silicon Laboratories (SLAB) shares soared by 51% following the announcement of its acquisition by Texas Instruments for approximately $7.5 billion [13] - Nvidia (NVDA) shares declined 2.8% due to a broad tech sell-off and uncertainty surrounding its OpenAI investment [14]