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BRC (BRCC) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results
BRCCBRC (BRCC)2025-03-03 21:18

Revenue and Growth Projections - Black Rifle Coffee Company's 2024 projected revenue is approximately 392.5million,witha37392.5 million, with a 37% CAGR from 2019 to 2024[11] - The company's 2024 revenue CAGR is projected at 44.6%, while marketing spend CAGR is only 14.8%[26] - Total revenue grew ~1.7x from 2021 to 2024, with RTD and Energy contributing significantly to wholesale channel growth[42] - Revenue CAGR projected at 10%-15% through 2027, with a target gross margin of 40%+[48] - GAAP Revenue, Net for Q4 2023 was 119.65 million, with Non-GAAP Adjusted Revenue, Net at 124.26million[58]ProfitabilityandMarginsThecompanys2024adjustedEBITDAmarginisexpectedtobebetween4042124.26 million[58] Profitability and Margins - The company's 2024 adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to be between 40-42%, with a gross margin of around 10%[11] - Adjusted Gross Margin improved to 43.8% in Q4 2023, up from 42.1% in Q1 2023[45] - Gross margin expected to be in the high-30% range in 2025, impacted by slotting fees and green coffee inflation[48] - GAAP Gross Profit for Q4 2023 was 31.67 million, with Non-GAAP Adjusted Gross Profit at 46.94million[58]RTDtransformationcostsimpactedGrossProfitby46.94 million[58] - RTD transformation costs impacted Gross Profit by 15.27 million in Q4 2023[58] Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Business - Black Rifle Coffee has over 190,000 Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) Coffee Club subscribers as of 2024[11] - DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) subscribers reached 190,000+, with an average subscriber order value of ~30andprojected2024DTCnetrevenueof30 and projected 2024 DTC net revenue of 120 million+[36] Wholesale and Retail Expansion - The company's Wholesale segment grew from ~1,000 doors in 2020 to 12,000+ by the end of 2023, representing a ~120% CAGR[29] - Ready-to-Drink (RTD) coffee product line expanded from ~10,000 locations in 2020 to 86,000+ locations by the end of 2023, with a ~100% CAGR[29] - Black Rifle Coffee's share of regional retailer coffee sales reached 3.0% in 2024, doubling the number of SKUs on shelves within the first year[31] - Wholesale business growth driven by 12,000+ doors today, with potential to reach 20,000+ doors by 2026[54] - Retail sales growth in packaged coffee from 2023 to 2024 reported at 28.8%[54] - Achieved 100million+inrevenueatRetailerwithin 18monthsoflaunch[55] 22100 million+ in revenue at Retailer within ~18 months of launch[55] - ~22% of BRCC sales at Retailer are from new buyers[55] - ~32 million of BRCC sales are incremental to Retailer[55] - BRCC reached ~3% of total Retailer coffee sales within 4 months[55] - BRCC revenue ramped with distribution gains but has remained consistent with normal seasonal variability[55] Ready-to-Drink (RTD) and Energy Products - RTD coffee business rapidly grew to over 100million,outpacingthecategorygrowthby 4x[33]RTDcoffeemarketshareincreasedfrom3.4100 million, outpacing the category growth by ~4x[33] - RTD coffee market share increased from 3.4% in Jan 2022 to 5.6% in Jul 2024[33] - RTD coffee ACV (All Commodity Volume) is ~42% today, with potential to grow via additional DSD distribution partnerships[33] - The company entered the 20 billion+ energy market nationwide through a partnership with Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), covering 80% of the U.S. population[34] - The RTD Energy partnership provides immediate access to 180,000+ retail outlets via KDP's distribution network[34] - The company expanded its product portfolio to include RTD Energy, with a focus on healthier ingredients and fewer additives, aligning with market trends[35] Marketing and Customer Loyalty - Black Rifle Coffee's social media following across Instagram, X, Facebook, YouTube, and TikTok totals 6.0 million followers[21] - The company's 2024 marketing budget as a percentage of sales is projected to be 2.0%, significantly lower than competitors like Celsius (8.1%) and PepsiCo (9.1%)[26] - Black Rifle Coffee's Net Promoter Score (NPS) is 78, indicating strong customer loyalty[11] Operational Efficiency and Cost Management - Cost savings of over 30 million achieved through SG&A management measures[45] - Productivity improvements in 2024 expected to drive 23 million in savings, contributing to gross margin improvement[47] - Inventory value decreased by 12million,representinga2112 million, representing a 21% reduction from December 2023[47] - Transportation costs running ~14% under market rates due to a robust network of reliable and cost-effective transportation companies[47] Strategic Priorities and Partnerships - Strategic priorities include product innovation, adjacent category expansion, and maximizing the KDP partnership to drive future growth[39] - The company entered the 20 billion+ energy market nationwide through a partnership with Keurig Dr. Pepper (KDP), covering 80% of the U.S. population[34] - The RTD Energy partnership provides immediate access to 180,000+ retail outlets via KDP's distribution network[34] Financial Performance and Adjustments - The company achieved six consecutive quarters of positive EBITDA since Q2 2023, with adjusted EBITDA margin improving to 9.6% in FY2024[44] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2023 was 12.15million[60]Equitybasedcompensationaddedback12.15 million[60] - Equity-based compensation added back 1.33 million to Adjusted EBITDA in Q4 2023[60] - EBITDA CAGR projected at 15%-25% through 2027, with anticipated pressure in 2025 due to energy launch[48]