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Atlas Energy Solutions (AESI) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Results

Acquisition Details - Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. announced a definitive agreement to acquire Moser Energy Systems for a total transaction value of 220million,consistingof220 million, consisting of 180 million in cash and approximately 1.7 million shares valued at 40million[1][2].TheacquisitionisanticipatedtobeimmediatelyaccretiveandisexpectedtoclosebytheendofQ12025,pendingcustomaryclosingconditions[4][7].MoserEnergySystemshasastrongEBITDAmarginprofileofover5040 million[1][2]. - The acquisition is anticipated to be immediately accretive and is expected to close by the end of Q1 2025, pending customary closing conditions[4][7]. - Moser Energy Systems has a strong EBITDA margin profile of over 50%, which is expected to enhance Atlas's cash flow generation and shareholder returns[4]. - The company is in the process of completing the Moser Acquisition, which is subject to various risks and uncertainties[27]. - The company anticipates potential synergies from the Moser Acquisition, but the realization of these benefits is uncertain[27]. Financial Projections - For Q4 2024, estimated revenue is projected to be between 270.0 million and 272.0million,representinganincreaseofapproximately92272.0 million, representing an increase of approximately 92% compared to Q4 2023 revenue of 141.1 million[11]. - Estimated Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 is expected to be between 62.2millionand62.2 million and 64.2 million, a decrease of approximately 8% from Q4 2023 Adjusted EBITDA of 68.7million[12].Forthefiscalyear2024,revenueisexpectedtobebetween68.7 million[12]. - For the fiscal year 2024, revenue is expected to be between 1,055.0 million and 1,057.0million,anincreaseofapproximately721,057.0 million, an increase of approximately 72% compared to 614.0 million in fiscal year 2023[19]. - Estimated Adjusted EBITDA for the fiscal year 2024 is projected to be between 287.9millionand287.9 million and 289.9 million, a decrease of approximately 12% from 329.7millioninfiscalyear2023[19].FullYear2023NetIncomewas329.7 million in fiscal year 2023[19]. - Full Year 2023 Net Income was 226,493,000, with an estimated range for Full Year 2024 between 58,392,000and58,392,000 and 59,792,000[30]. - Full Year 2023 Adjusted EBITDA was 329,655,000,withanestimatedrangeforFullYear2024between329,655,000, with an estimated range for Full Year 2024 between 287,866,000 and 289,866,000[30].CashFlowandIncomeCashandcashequivalentsareexpectedtototalapproximately289,866,000[30]. Cash Flow and Income - Cash and cash equivalents are expected to total approximately 71.7 million, a decrease of approximately 66% from 210.2millionattheendoffiscalyear2023[19].NetIncomeforQ42023was210.2 million at the end of fiscal year 2023[19]. - Net Income for Q4 2023 was 36,050,000, with an estimated range for Q4 2024 between 12,850,000and12,850,000 and 14,250,000[30]. - EBITDA for Q4 2023 was 64,057,000,withanestimatedrangeforQ42024between64,057,000, with an estimated range for Q4 2024 between 64,928,000 and 67,328,000[30].EBITDAforFullYear2023was67,328,000[30]. - EBITDA for Full Year 2023 was 316,957,000, with an estimated range for Full Year 2024 between 232,145,000and232,145,000 and 234,545,000[30]. Operational Strategies - Atlas continues to invest in technologies such as autonomous trucking and artificial intelligence to improve operational efficiencies and reduce costs[20]. Risks and Uncertainties - The company is facing risks related to commodity price volatility, particularly due to geopolitical tensions in regions like Ukraine and the Middle East[27]. - The company has outlined a stock repurchase program, but the successful execution of this program is uncertain[27].