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Arlington Asset Investment(AAIC) - 2023 Q2 - Quarterly Report

Financial Performance - Net income for the three months ended June 30, 2023, was 4.9million,comparedtoanetincomeof4.9 million, compared to a net income of 0.3 million for the same period in 2022 [218]. - Diluted earnings per common share for the three months ended June 30, 2023, was 0.15,comparedtoalossof0.15, compared to a loss of 0.01 for the same period in 2022 [218]. - Interest and other income increased by 3.9million,or44.33.9 million, or 44.3%, from 8.8 million for the three months ended June 30, 2022, to 12.7millionforthethreemonthsendedJune30,2023[218].InterestandotherincomeforthesixmonthsendedJune30,2023,roseby12.7 million for the three months ended June 30, 2023 [218]. - Interest and other income for the six months ended June 30, 2023, rose by 10.5 million, or 64.8%, to 26.7millioncomparedto26.7 million compared to 16.2 million for the same period in 2022 [218]. - Interest expense increased by 3.7million,or82.23.7 million, or 82.2%, from 4.5 million for the three months ended June 30, 2022, to 8.2millionforthethreemonthsendedJune30,2023[223].ThetotalinterestexpenseforthesixmonthsendedJune30,2023,was8.2 million for the three months ended June 30, 2023 [223]. - The total interest expense for the six months ended June 30, 2023, was 16.5 million, up from 7.7millionforthesameperiodin2022,reflectinga114.37.7 million for the same period in 2022, reflecting a 114.3% increase [223]. - Net income available to common stock for the three months ended June 30, 2023, was 4.2 million, compared to a loss of 0.4millionforthesameperiodin2022[235].NonGAAPearningsavailablefordistributionforthesixmonthsendedJune30,2023,were0.4 million for the same period in 2022 [235]. - Non-GAAP earnings available for distribution for the six months ended June 30, 2023, were 3.7 million, up from 2.8millioninthesameperiodof2022,representinga322.8 million in the same period of 2022, representing a 32% increase [235]. Investment Portfolio - The total invested capital as of June 30, 2023, was 450.5 million, with 66% allocated to MSR financing receivables, 11% to credit investments, and 23% to agency MBS [199]. - The agency MBS investment portfolio has a fair value of 467,503,withanetshortTBApositionof467,503, with a net short TBA position of (343,236), resulting in a total portfolio value of 124,267[207].ThetotalcreditinvestmentportfolioasofJune30,2023,isvaluedat124,267 [207]. - The total credit investment portfolio as of June 30, 2023, is valued at 130,347, with a leverage ratio of 2.8 [205]. - The company holds two AAA rated senior position commercial MBS with a combined fair value of 99.6million,securedbypropertiesinNewYorkandNorthCarolina[205].TheaveragebalanceofagencyMBSincreasedto99.6 million, secured by properties in New York and North Carolina [205]. - The average balance of agency MBS increased to 472.8 million, generating interest and other income of 5.0millionatayieldof4.265.0 million at a yield of 4.26% for the three months ended June 30, 2023 [219]. - The average balance of credit investments was 132.2 million, yielding 2.8millionatan8.482.8 million at an 8.48% rate for the three months ended June 30, 2023 [219]. Market Conditions - The 10-year U.S. Treasury rate increased by 37 basis points to 3.84% as of June 30, 2023, contributing to a rise in residential mortgage rates, which reached 6.71% [193]. - The average primary mortgage rate from Freddie Mac increased by 39 basis points to 6.71% as of June 30, 2023, impacting the housing market [195]. - Housing prices declined by 0.5% annually as reported by the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA index in May 2023 [195]. - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined to 3.0% for the twelve-month period ending June 30, 2023, indicating a decrease in inflation from its peak in 2022 [195]. Risk Factors - The company is exposed to various market risks including interest rate risk, credit risk, and spread risk, which can significantly impact its financial position [261]. - Credit risk is present in the company's non-agency MBS investments, which do not carry a credit guarantee, exposing the company to potential credit losses [270]. - The company acknowledges that actual results may differ materially from estimates due to various market conditions and risks [265]. - The company is facing risks related to the proposed merger with EFC, including the need for shareholder approval and potential litigation risks [272]. - Current adverse conditions in the residential mortgage market and the overall economy could affect the company's performance [273]. Capital Structure - The company’s leverage ratio was reported at 0.5 as of June 30, 2023, reflecting the ratio of financing and commitments to investable capital [199]. - As of June 30, 2023, the debt-to-equity leverage ratio was 2.7 to 1, indicating a significant reliance on debt financing [238]. - Total repurchase agreements outstanding as of June 30, 2023, amounted to 499.9 million, with a weighted-average rate of 5.48% [243]. - The company had outstanding repurchase agreement balances with eight counterparties, with no more than 4.2% of stockholders' equity at risk with any one counterparty [245]. - As of June 30, 2023, the company had 86.6millionintotallongtermunsecureddebt,with86.6 million in total long-term unsecured debt, with 34.9 million in 6.75% Senior Notes due 2025 and 37.8millionin6.0037.8 million in 6.00% Senior Notes due 2026 [246]. Strategic Decisions - The company no longer anticipates allocating capital to a single-family residential investment strategy after selling its SFR portfolio in 2022 [191]. - The company does not anticipate allocating capital to an SFR investment strategy going forward, having sold all SFR rental properties in 2022 [222]. - The company is exploring business expansion beyond mortgage-backed securities (MBS), with uncertain returns [273]. - The company intends to distribute 100% of its taxable income to shareholders, in compliance with REIT distribution requirements [257]. Operational Insights - General and administrative expenses include professional services, insurance, and non-recurring expenses related to the proposed merger with EFC [214]. - General and administrative expenses increased by 0.9 million from 3.8millionforthethreemonthsendedJune30,2022,to3.8 million for the three months ended June 30, 2022, to 4.7 million for the same period in 2023, primarily due to non-recurring legal and professional service fees [230]. - The company incurred property operating expenses of 1.9millionforthethreemonthsendedJune30,2022,including1.9 million for the three months ended June 30, 2022, including 0.6 million of depreciation expense [226]. - The company recognized a provision for income taxes of 1.4millionforthethreemonthsendedJune30,2023,comparedto1.4 million for the three months ended June 30, 2023, compared to 0.8 million for the same period in 2022 [231]. Future Outlook - The company expects substantial realization of remaining value from business purpose residential MBS within the next several quarters [205]. - The company anticipates that changes in prepayment rates and interest rates will affect its portfolio performance [271]. - The company acknowledges the potential economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on its operations [273].