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Walgreens Boots Alliance: Maybe I Was Wrong
WBAWalgreens Boots Alliance(WBA) Seeking Alpha·2024-06-28 16:57

Core Viewpoint - Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. is facing significant challenges, including declining stock prices and operational difficulties, despite some recent improvements in quarterly results [1][3][10]. Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, Walgreens Boots Alliance reported sales of 36,351million,reflectinga2.636,351 million, reflecting a 2.6% year-over-year growth, and an operating income of 111 million, a turnaround from an operating loss of 477millioninQ32023[3][4].Dilutedearningspershareincreasedfrom477 million in Q3 2023 [3][4]. - Diluted earnings per share increased from 0.14 in Q3 2023 to 0.40inQ32024,markinga1860.40 in Q3 2024, marking a 186% year-over-year growth [3]. - Free cash flow improved from a negative 444 million to a positive 334millioninthesamequarter[3].SegmentAnalysisTheU.S.RetailPharmacysegmentgenerated334 million in the same quarter [3]. Segment Analysis - The U.S. Retail Pharmacy segment generated 28,503 million in sales with a 2.3% year-over-year growth, but adjusted operating income declined 47.9% to 501million[4][5].TheInternationalsegmentsawsalesincreaseto501 million [4][5]. - The International segment saw sales increase to 5,727 million, a 2.8% growth, but adjusted operating income fell 15.9% to 175million[5][6].TheU.S.Healthcaresegmentreporteda7.6175 million [5][6]. - The U.S. Healthcare segment reported a 7.6% year-over-year sales growth to 2,125 million, but still faced an operating loss of 220million[6].ImpairmentandBalanceSheetAsignificantnoncashgoodwillimpairmentchargeof220 million [6]. Impairment and Balance Sheet - A significant non-cash goodwill impairment charge of 12.4 billion was recognized due to a downward revision in the long-term forecast from VillageMD management [7]. - Goodwill on the balance sheet decreased from 28,187millionto28,187 million to 15,821 million, indicating a substantial write-off [7]. - The company has limited cash reserves of 703million,raisingconcernsaboutliquidity,especiallywith703 million, raising concerns about liquidity, especially with 1,506 million in short-term debt and 7,407millioninlongtermdebt[7][8].DividendPolicyWalgreensBootsAlliancecutitsdividendto7,407 million in long-term debt [7][8]. Dividend Policy - Walgreens Boots Alliance cut its dividend to 0.25 per share, a nearly 50% reduction, losing its status as a dividend aristocrat [9]. - The current annual dividend of 1.00resultsinayieldof6.31.00 results in a yield of 6.3%, but further cuts may be necessary depending on cash generation in the upcoming quarters [9]. Future Outlook - Management has lowered the adjusted EPS guidance for fiscal 2024 to a range of 2.80 to $2.95, reflecting ongoing challenges in the retail pharmacy business and a difficult consumer environment [10][11]. - Despite some signs of hope, the overall sentiment remains cautious, with the company needing to manage its turnaround effectively to regain profitability [13].