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SNAP Stock Plunges 44.1% YTD: Should Investors Hold or Fold?
SNAPSnap(SNAP) ZACKS·2024-08-21 15:11

Stock Performance and Investment Scenario - Snap Inc's stock price has plummeted 44 1% year to date, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 22 5% [1] - The stock presents a high-risk but potentially high-reward scenario, with significant challenges in advertising and competition but innovative approaches and an engaged user base offering hope [1] - Investors must weigh Snap's long-term potential against short-term volatility [1] AR Initiatives and User Growth - Snap's AR features, including AR Lenses, Discover content, Shows, and Snap Map, have expanded its daily active user base to 432 million, with a strong presence in the 13-34 age demographic [2] - AR Lens sharing increased by 12% year-over-year in the second quarter, with over 300,000 creators and developers producing more than 3 million AR Lenses through Lens Studio [2] - Recent updates to Lens Studio streamline the production of complex AR effects, potentially stimulating increased content creation [3] - The AR market is projected to reach 1,86940billionby2032,aligningwithSnapsstrategicfocusonAR[3]RevenueDiversificationandGrowthProjectionsSnapchat+attractedover11millionpayingsubscribersinthesecondquarter,demonstratingeffortstodiversifyrevenuestreams[3]TheZacksConsensusEstimateprojects1621,869 40 billion by 2032, aligning with Snap's strategic focus on AR [3] Revenue Diversification and Growth Projections - Snapchat+ attracted over 11 million paying subscribers in the second quarter, demonstrating efforts to diversify revenue streams [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects 16 2% year-over-year revenue growth to 5 35 billion for 2024, with earnings per share estimated at 21 cents, indicating a 133 33% growth year-over-year [4] - Snap's expanding partner network, including ITV and Spotify, is expected to drive net sales in 2024 [3] AI Integration and User Engagement - Snap is strategically pivoting toward AI, introducing "My AI," a ChatGPT-powered chatbot integrated into Snapchat [5] - The GenAI Suite in Lens Studio empowers AR creators to generate custom ML models and assets, enhancing AR features and content creation tools [5] - Over five billion Snaps are created daily, with AI-driven features like editable chats, expanded emoji reactions, and Map Reactions crucial for maintaining user interest [5] - Snap is applying AI to its advertising business, developing tools for more engaging ad experiences and collaborating with tech giants like Microsoft for AI-powered Sponsored Links [6] Competitive and Market Challenges - Snap faces significant challenges from weak advertising spending and intense competition from tech giants like Meta Platforms and Alphabet [7] - Apple's iOS privacy changes have lowered ad revenues, and growing competition from TikTok has dampened user growth and engagement metrics [7] - Macroeconomic headwinds, including rising interest rates and inflation concerns, disproportionately affect growth-focused companies like Snap [7] Valuation and Profitability Concerns - Snap's forward 12-month price-to-sales ratio of 2 69 is higher than the Zacks Internet - Software industry average of 2 55, suggesting high growth expectations but also elevated risk [8] - The company's premium valuation and profitability concerns underscore the importance of effectively monetizing its user base and bringing innovative features to the market [9]