Checking In With Bilibili Stock Before Earnings

Core Viewpoint - Bilibili (BILI) is experiencing a potential stock bounce, with support around the $13 region, ahead of its second-quarter earnings report [1] Group 1: Stock Performance and Analysis - BILI is currently within one standard deviation of its 126-day moving average, having remained above it 80% of the time over the past two months and within the last 10 trading days [1] - Historical data shows that after similar signals in the past three years, BILI was higher one month later once, with a gain of 11.1% [1] - The stock has had mixed post-earnings reactions over the last two years, averaging a 9.3% swing regardless of direction, while the current options market is pricing in a 14.6% move [1] Group 2: Short Interest and Market Dynamics - Short interest represents 5.1% of BILI's available float, indicating potential for an unwinding that could support the stock [2] - It would take shorts nearly three days to cover their positions based on BILI's average trading pace [2]