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Sohu Shows Modest Improvement
SOHUSohu.com(SOHU) Seeking Alpha·2024-08-30 16:12

Core Viewpoint - Sohu is experiencing some signs of improvement in its mobile gaming segment, but it continues to struggle with profitability, particularly in its brand advertising business [2][3][6]. Financial Performance - In Q2, Sohu reported total revenue of 172million,a13172 million, a 13% increase year-over-year, with the online gaming segment generating 147 million, up 24% from the previous year [3]. - Despite revenue growth, Sohu recorded a non-GAAP net loss of 34million,whichisa61.934 million, which is a 61.9% increase in net loss compared to the previous year [3]. - The increase in net loss was attributed to a 19 million rise in the cost of revenue and a 22millionincreaseinoperatingcosts,primarilyduetomarketinganddevelopmentexpensesfromsubsidiaryChangyou[3].UserGrowthandProjectionsThenumberofmonthlyactiveusers(MAU)formobilegamessurgedby27322 million increase in operating costs, primarily due to marketing and development expenses from subsidiary Changyou [3]. User Growth and Projections - The number of monthly active users (MAU) for mobile games surged by 273% year-over-year to 4.9 million, largely driven by updates to the Westward Journey game [4]. - However, Sohu anticipates a decline in online game revenue to 104-114millioninQ3,representinga2229114 million in Q3, representing a 22-29% decrease compared to Q2, mainly due to a natural decline in users for the Westward Journey game [4][7]. Brand Advertising Segment - Sohu's brand advertising segment has been unprofitable for years, with revenues decreasing by 46.79% over the past five years, leading to significant cash burn [6]. - The company expects brand advertising revenue to fall to 17-19millioninQ3,a142319 million in Q3, a 14-23% decline year-over-year, attributed to macroeconomic factors and loss of market share [7]. Cash Position and Investments - Sohu has maintained a strong balance sheet with no net debt and approximately 1 billion in cash following the sale of Sogou to Tencent [8]. - The company plans to allocate 150 million for a share repurchase program over two years, despite ongoing losses [8]. Competitive Landscape - Among Sohu's competitors, only two out of six companies are currently profitable, with Sohu having the largest R&D expenditures in its peer group [9][10]. - Sohu's gross margin stands at 73.69%, placing it in the middle compared to its competitors [11]. Valuation Metrics - Sohu's current Price/Sales (P/S) ratio is 0.84, indicating a 9.09% overvaluation, while the Price/Book (P/B) ratio suggests a 73.91% discount, with a fair share price estimated at 20.02 [13][14].