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Mission Produce: Ripe For Growth But Too Pricey To Pick
AVOMission(AVO) Seeking Alpha·2024-09-10 14:58

Core Viewpoint - Mission Produce, Inc. has reported solid financial results, including an EPS of 0.23andrevenueof0.23 and revenue of 324 million, but faces significant challenges ahead [1][5][15] Company Overview - Mission Produce, Inc. is a leading player in the global avocado industry, fully integrated from sourcing to distribution, and has expanded its product offerings to include mangos and blueberries since 2021 [3] - The company operates packing facilities in the U.S., Mexico, and Peru, and has a distribution network across North America, China, and Europe [3] Financial Performance - For Q3 FY2024, Mission Produce achieved a revenue growth of 24% year-over-year to 324million,withadjustedEBITDArising49324 million, with adjusted EBITDA rising 49% to 31.5 million [5] - The company reported a gross profit increase of 8.6millionto8.6 million to 37 million, with improved margins due to strong avocado sales [5] Market Dynamics - The company faced lower avocado production in Peru due to El Niño, but higher prices helped offset this decline, maintaining strong demand [6] - Mission Produce captured a record market share of approximately 30% in California, significantly increasing its cash flow [7] Technological Advancements - Mission Produce has developed "Mission Control," a precision ripening technology that improves quality consistency by 38% and reduces food waste [9] - The company is expanding its ripening capacity in the UK and rolling out similar technology for mangos [8][9] Diversification Efforts - The blueberry segment saw net sales increase to 1.6million,whilemangovolumesroseby401.6 million, while mango volumes rose by 40%, doubling revenue to 14 million [10] Cash Flow and Efficiency - Mission Produce generated close to 30millioninfreecashflowandsaved30 million in free cash flow and saved 2.5 million through operational efficiency improvements [11] - Planned capital expenditures for 2024 are projected to be between 40millionand40 million and 45 million, indicating a focus on efficient resource use [11] Risks and Challenges - The company faces a 40% drop in sales volume from owned farms in the International Farming segment due to lower harvest yields [14] - Negative earnings growth and a high P/E ratio raise concerns about the stock's valuation and future performance [13][15]