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Don't Overlook Unity: Why This Stock Could Be Ready to Soar
UUnity Software(U) MarketBeat·2024-09-11 12:02

Core Insights - Unity Software Inc. is a leading platform for creating and managing real-time 3D content, with its game engine used in nearly 50% of all video games and 70% of the top 1,000 mobile games globally [1][3] Company Overview - Unity's stock is currently priced at 16.72,down2.6216.72, down 2.62% from previous levels, with a 52-week range between 13.90 and 43.54[3]Thecompanyfacedsignificantbacklashafterimplementinga"runtimefee"inJuly2023,whichledtoastockpricecollapsefrom43.54 [3] - The company faced significant backlash after implementing a "runtime fee" in July 2023, which led to a stock price collapse from 47.16 to an all-time low of 13.90onAugust7,2024[3][5]RecentDevelopmentsFollowingtheruntimefeeincident,UnitysCEO,JohnRiccitiello,publiclyapologizedandresigned[5][6]TherevisedruntimefeepolicyappliestogamesmadeonUnity6orhigher,exemptingdevelopersusingUnityPersonalEditionuntiltheyearn13.90 on August 7, 2024 [3][5] Recent Developments - Following the runtime fee incident, Unity's CEO, John Riccitiello, publicly apologized and resigned [5][6] - The revised runtime fee policy applies to games made on Unity 6 or higher, exempting developers using Unity Personal Edition until they earn 200,000 in revenue [6] - The fee structure is designed to protect smaller developers while still generating revenue from larger studios [6] Financial Performance - Unity's Create Solutions segment saw a 4% year-over-year revenue growth, with core subscriptions increasing by 14% year-over-year [7] - In Q2 2024, Unity reported losses of 0.32pershare,missingconsensusestimates,whilerevenuesslid15.80.32 per share, missing consensus estimates, while revenues slid 15.8% year-over-year to 449.3 million, but core strategic portfolio revenue rose 6% year-over-year to 426million[9]ForQ32024,Unityexpectsstrategicportfoliorevenuebetween426 million [9] - For Q3 2024, Unity expects strategic portfolio revenue between 415 million and 420million,withadjustedEBITDAbetween420 million, with adjusted EBITDA between 75 million and 80million[10]MarketOutlookMorganStanleyupgradedUnitystocktoOverweightfromEqualWeight,settingapricetargetof80 million [10] Market Outlook - Morgan Stanley upgraded Unity stock to Overweight from Equal Weight, setting a price target of 22, citing reduced risk from the guidance cut and Unity's strong market share in mobile gaming [11] - The average consensus price target for Unity is 26.46,withahighforecastof26.46, with a high forecast of 56.00 [13]