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HSY Down on Q3 Earnings Miss, View Cut Amid Weak Consumer Trends
HSYHershey(HSY) ZACKS·2024-11-07 18:05

Core Viewpoint - The Hershey Company reported disappointing third-quarter 2024 results, with both earnings and net sales declining year over year, missing consensus estimates. The company is facing challenges from a tough consumer environment and high cocoa prices, leading to a revised outlook for the year with lowered expectations for net sales growth and adjusted earnings per share [1][14]. Financial Performance - Adjusted earnings for the quarter were 2.34,adeclineof102.34, a decline of 10% year over year, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 2.50 [2]. - Consolidated net sales were 2,987.5million,down1.42,987.5 million, down 1.4% from the previous year and below the consensus estimate of 3,073.1 million. On a constant-currency basis, organic sales decreased by 1%, with a net price increase of nearly 2 points offset by lower volume across segments [3]. - The adjusted gross margin contracted to 40.3%, a decrease of 460 basis points, primarily due to increased commodity costs and unfavorable timing of input costs [4]. Cost Management - Selling, marketing, and administrative (SM&A) expenses decreased by 5.2%, attributed to lower advertising and consumer marketing expenses, reduced compensation, and fewer investments in technology [5]. - Excluding advertising and consumer marketing expenses, SM&A expenses dropped 7.5% due to lower compensation and benefit costs [6]. Segment Performance - The North America Confectionery segment reported net sales of 2,477.3million,aslightincreaseof0.82,477.3 million, a slight increase of 0.8%, driven by price realization and inventory timing benefits, despite volume declines [8]. - The North America Salty Snacks segment saw net sales decline by 15.5% to 291.8 million, with volume decreases largely due to planned inventory increases and shipment delays [10]. - The International segment's net sales were 218.4million,down3.9218.4 million, down 3.9%, with organic sales increasing slightly by 0.2% but facing volume declines due to competitive pressures [12]. Future Outlook - Management now expects net sales to be flat year over year, a revision from the previous expectation of approximately 2% growth. Adjusted EPS is anticipated to decline mid-single digits to a range of 9.00-9.10,comparedtoanadjustedEPSof9.10, compared to an adjusted EPS of 9.59 in 2023 [14]. - The company plans capital expenditures of 575575-600 million for 2024, focusing on core confection capacity expansion and digital infrastructure investments [13].