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Paramount Revenue Is Down: Analyst Remains Optimistic That 'Gladiator II' And 'Sonic 3' Can Help
PGREParamount (PGRE) Benzinga·2024-11-11 18:05

Core Insights - Paramount Global's third-quarter 2024 financial results show mixed performance across segments, with total revenue at 6.7billion,a66.7 billion, a 6% decline year-over-year, and operating income down 46% to 337 million [1] - Adjusted OIBDA increased by 20% to 858million,exceedingexpectationsby34858 million, exceeding expectations by 34%, while adjusted EPS rose 63% to 49 cents, surpassing the estimated 23 cents [1] - The DTC segment grew by 10% to 1.9 billion, driven by a 26% revenue increase from Paramount+, which added 3.5 million subscribers, totaling 71.9 million [3] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue reached 6.7billion,down66.7 billion, down 6% year-over-year [1] - Licensing revenue fell 9% due to reduced third-party productions and home entertainment sales [1] - TV Media revenue declined 6% to 4.3 billion, with ad revenue dropping 2% year-over-year [1] - Filmed Entertainment revenue dropped 34% year-over-year to 590million,attributedtothetimingofreleases[5]DTCSegmentPerformanceDTCadvertisingrevenuerose18590 million, attributed to the timing of releases [5] DTC Segment Performance - DTC advertising revenue rose 18%, driven by new subscribers and higher ARPU [3] - The DTC segment achieved profitability for the second consecutive quarter, with adjusted OIBDA turning to a 49 million profit from a loss of 238millioninQ32023[3]CostCuttingMeasuresParamountaimsfor238 million in Q3 2023 [3] Cost-Cutting Measures - Paramount aims for 500 million in annual cost reductions, primarily through workforce cuts and process streamlining, with 90% of these reductions completed by the end of Q3 [6] - These measures are seen as crucial for managing profitability challenges amid shifting revenue streams and high content production costs [6] Analyst Outlook - Needham analyst Laura Martin reiterated a Hold rating on Paramount, expressing caution regarding the company's ability to return to consistent revenue growth [2] - Martin noted potential for growth as streaming becomes a larger revenue share, but remains cautious until sustained growth is evidenced [7] Stock Performance and Projections - Paramount stock rose 2.85% to 11.39[8]Fiscal2024revenueisprojectedat11.39 [8] - Fiscal 2024 revenue is projected at 29.5 billion (down 1% year-over-year) with adjusted EPS at 1.89,whilefiscal2025revenueisforecastedat1.89, while fiscal 2025 revenue is forecasted at 29.7 billion and EPS at 1.40[8]Initialprojectionsforfiscal2026suggestrevenueof1.40 [8] - Initial projections for fiscal 2026 suggest revenue of 30.1 billion and adjusted EPS of $1.73, indicating a gradual return to growth [8]