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Why EVgo Stock Surged Over 25% This Week and Could Rally Even Higher
EVGOEVgo (EVGO) The Motley Fool·2024-11-22 21:05

Core Viewpoint - EVgo's stock is poised for significant growth due to a potential 1.05billionloanguaranteefromtheU.S.DepartmentofEnergy,whichcouldenhanceitsEVchargingnetworkexpansionandfinancialperformance[2][3][7]Group1:FinancialPerformanceandProjectionsEVgoreporteda921.05 billion loan guarantee from the U.S. Department of Energy, which could enhance its EV charging network expansion and financial performance [2][3][7] Group 1: Financial Performance and Projections - EVgo reported a 92% year-over-year increase in revenue for the third quarter, raising its full-year revenue guidance to between 250 million and 265million[6]ThecompanyanticipatesadjustedEBITDAtobreakevenby2025,indicatingapositiveoutlookforprofitability[6]AnalystJimPetersonexpectsEVgotoupgradeitsEBITDAtargetsoncetheDOEloanissecured,placingthestockon"positivecatalystwatch"[3]Group2:MarketPositionandGrowthEVgoisoneofthelargestpublicEVchargingnetworksintheU.S.,withover1,000fastcharginglocationsacross40states[2]Thecompanyadded270newoperationalstallsinthethirdquarter,anditsnetworkthroughputmorethandoubledyearoveryearduringthesameperiod[4]EVgohasextendeditspartnershipwithgroceryretailerMeijertodeploy480newpublicfastchargingstallsatMeijerpropertiesintheMidwest,furtherexpandingitsnetwork[5]Group3:MarketSentimentandRisksDespiteconcernsregardingtheTrumpadministrationpotentiallyeliminatingthe265 million [6] - The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA to break even by 2025, indicating a positive outlook for profitability [6] - Analyst Jim Peterson expects EVgo to upgrade its EBITDA targets once the DOE loan is secured, placing the stock on "positive catalyst watch" [3] Group 2: Market Position and Growth - EVgo is one of the largest public EV charging networks in the U.S., with over 1,000 fast-charging locations across 40 states [2] - The company added 270 new operational stalls in the third quarter, and its network throughput more than doubled year-over-year during the same period [4] - EVgo has extended its partnership with grocery retailer Meijer to deploy 480 new public fast-charging stalls at Meijer properties in the Midwest, further expanding its network [5] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Risks - Despite concerns regarding the Trump administration potentially eliminating the 7,500 EV tax credit, which could impact EV demand, Peterson believes EVgo's business model is not heavily reliant on federal incentives [4] - The stock has shown volatility, rebounding sharply by 27% at its highest point in trading, reflecting investor interest and market dynamics [1]