Sea-1 Unstoppable Stock Up 195% in 2024 That Could Double Again in 2025

Company Overview - Sea Limited is a Singapore-based company serving the Southeast Asian market across three business segments: e-commerce, digital entertainment (gaming), and digital financial services [1] - The company's stock has surged 195% in 2024 due to improving economic conditions and accelerating revenue growth, though it remains 68% below its all-time high set in 2021 [2] E-commerce Segment - E-commerce is Sea Limited's largest revenue source, driven by the Shopee platform which processed over 2.8 billion orders in Q3 2024 [4] - The company is improving Shopee's logistics efficiency, with 50% of orders in Asia delivered within two days or less in Q3 2024, while reducing costs per order [5] - Shopee synergizes with SeaMoney, which provides buy now, pay later loans and seller financing, ending Q3 with $4.6 billion in loans outstanding, up 73% year-over-year, and 24 million active users [6] Digital Entertainment Segment - The digital entertainment segment, led by Garena's Free Fire, was the most downloaded mobile game globally in Q3 2024, averaging over 100 million daily active users [7] - The segment served 628.5 million users in Q3 2024, a 15% increase year-over-year, though it has struggled post-pandemic with a 46% decline in paying users from its peak [7][8] - Metrics have stabilized over the past year, with investors looking for a return to consistent growth [9] Financial Performance - Sea Limited generated$ 4.3 billion in revenue in Q3 2024, a 30.8% year-over-year increase, marking the fastest growth rate in two-and-a-half years [10] - E-commerce revenue surged 42.6% to $3.2 billion, while digital financial services revenue grew 38% to$ 615.7 million, offset by a 16% decline in digital entertainment revenue to $497.8 million [11] - Operating expenses increased by only 5.7%, with marketing costs shrinking 4.3%, leading to net income of$ 153.3 million, a significant improvement from a $143.9 million net loss in the same quarter last year [12][13] Valuation and Growth Potential - Sea Limited's stock is trading at a P/S ratio of 4.4, a 53% discount to its average P/S ratio of 9.5 since its IPO in 2017 [15][16] - The company has$ 9.9 billion in cash and equivalents with minimal debt, providing flexibility to ramp up spending in marketing and R&D, potentially accelerating revenue growth further [18] - The stock could double in 2025 if revenue growth continues to accelerate, aligning its P/S ratio with historical averages [17][19]