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Cold Weather-Driven Demand Spurs Natural Gas Weekly Gain
LNGCheniere(LNG) ZACKS·2024-12-03 14:25

Industry Overview - The U.S. Energy Department reported a smaller-than-expected decrease in natural gas supplies, with stockpiles falling by 2 billion cubic feet (Bcf) for the week ended Nov. 22, compared to analysts' expectations of a 3 Bcf depletion [3] - Total natural gas stocks are at 3,967 Bcf, which is 134 Bcf (3.5%) above the 2023 level and 267 Bcf (7.2%) higher than the five-year average [3] - The total supply of natural gas averaged 108.4 Bcf per day, an increase of 0.8 Bcf per day week-over-week, while daily consumption rose to 107.9 Bcf from 107.3 Bcf [4] Price Movement - Natural gas prices increased by 2.3% last week, closing at 3.363ontheNewYorkMercantileExchange,drivenbystrongdemandforecastsduetocoldertemperatures[5]Despitethepriceincrease,thereisasupplysurplusanduncertainty,withcurrentinventoriesabovelastyearslevelsandthefiveyearaverage[6]InvestmentOpportunitiesInvestorsareadvisedtofocusonresilientstockssuchasCheniereEnergy,RangeResources,andShellplc,whichareexpectedtoprovidestabilityamidmarketvolatility[2][7]CheniereEnergyhasacompetitiveadvantageasthefirstcompanytoreceiveregulatoryapprovaltoexportLNGfromitsSabinePassterminal,withsharesup27.83.363 on the New York Mercantile Exchange, driven by strong demand forecasts due to colder temperatures [5] - Despite the price increase, there is a supply surplus and uncertainty, with current inventories above last year's levels and the five-year average [6] Investment Opportunities - Investors are advised to focus on resilient stocks such as Cheniere Energy, Range Resources, and Shell plc, which are expected to provide stability amid market volatility [2][7] - Cheniere Energy has a competitive advantage as the first company to receive regulatory approval to export LNG from its Sabine Pass terminal, with shares up 27.8% over the past year [8][9] - Range Resources, an independent natural gas producer, has a strong position in the Appalachian Basin and produced 202.8 Bcfe in Q3 2024, with shares gaining 10% in a year [10][12] - Shell, having acquired BG Group for 50 billion, is positioned as a major LNG supplier, with shares down 0.8% in a year but consistently beating earnings estimates [12][13]