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中金公司:2025年关注四个领域的投资机会
601995CICC(601995) 证券时报网·2024-12-09 00:53

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that by 2025, certain growth industries in China are expected to experience a recovery in fundamentals after years of adjustment, with an increase in the number of industries showing improved conditions and a shift from valuation-driven to fundamentals-driven investment opportunities [1] - Investment opportunities are suggested in four areas: 1) Opportunities arising from supply-side clearing and low-level recovery, particularly in lithium batteries, high-end manufacturing, and some traditional manufacturing sectors that are reversing their difficulties [1][2] Group 2 - Policy support for the development of new productive forces is highlighted, with an emphasis on the importance of industrial autonomy and the positive impact of alleviating local debt pressures on government-related industries; the trend towards new industries driven by AI will create new demand, particularly in semiconductors, consumer electronics, and software [2] - Resilient external demand makes certain overseas industries worth attention, such as power grids, commercial vehicles, home appliances, and construction machinery, which are less susceptible to external shocks and have resilient demand [2] Group 3 - Industries with strong cash flow and high dividend levels are emphasized, as investor risk appetite increases; traditional natural monopoly industries may see a decline in dividend yield attractiveness, while consumer leaders with strong cash flow and high dividends, particularly in the food and beverage sector, are gaining attention from a broader economic perspective [3]