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DECK Stock Trades 1% Below 52-Week High: An Opportunity for Investors?
DECKDeckers(DECK) ZACKS·2024-12-16 15:36

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) has demonstrated strong performance in the footwear market, significantly outperforming industry benchmarks and showing robust growth in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels [1][2][19]. Financial Performance - DECK shares are currently trading at 206.63,just0.9206.63, just 0.9% below its 52-week high of 208.45, with a 75.4% increase in stock value over the past year compared to the Zacks Retail-Apparel and Shoes industry's 36% growth [1][4]. - In the second quarter of fiscal 2025, DECK's net sales rose 19.9% to 397.7million,withcomparablenetsalesincreasingby17397.7 million, with comparable net sales increasing by 17% [9]. - Total revenues for fiscal 2025 are estimated at 4.8 billion, reflecting a 12% increase from the previous year, with HOKA expected to grow by 24% and UGG projected for mid-single-digit growth [14]. Brand Performance - HOKA achieved a remarkable 34.7% sales increase in the second quarter, while UGG grew by 13%, driven by a diversified product portfolio and optimized distribution strategies [8][7]. - The company's flagship brands, UGG and HOKA, are positioned for continued growth, with HOKA on track to become a multi-billion-dollar brand [7]. Market Position and Strategy - Deckers has strengthened its market position through innovation and a focus on direct-to-consumer operations, enhancing its digital capabilities and omnichannel presence [7][9]. - International sales surged 33% year over year in the fiscal second quarter, indicating strong performances from UGG and HOKA in global markets [10][11]. - Wholesale revenues increased by 20.2% year over year to 913.7million,withHOKAandUGGcontributingsignificantlytothisgrowth[12][13].OutlookandAnalystSentimentAnalystshavepositivelyrevisedtheirearningsestimatesforDECK,withtheconsensusestimateforthecurrentfiscalyearpeggedat913.7 million, with HOKA and UGG contributing significantly to this growth [12][13]. Outlook and Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have positively revised their earnings estimates for DECK, with the consensus estimate for the current fiscal year pegged at 5.48 per share and 6.21forthenextfiscalyear[16][17].Thecompanyhasraiseditsgrossmarginoutlookto5555.56.21 for the next fiscal year [16][17]. - The company has raised its gross margin outlook to 55-55.5% and increased its earnings per share guidance to 5.15-$5.25, indicating improved profitability [15].