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EVgo Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVGOEVgo (EVGO) The Motley Fool·2024-12-21 09:10

Core Insights - EVgo, a prominent EV charging network builder, went public in July 2021 through a SPAC merger, with its stock price declining from an opening of 15.05toapproximately15.05 to approximately 4 [1] Business Overview - EVgo operates over 1,000 fast charging stations across 40 states, with around 145 million people living within 10 miles of a charger [4] - The company offers individual charging payments and encourages subscription plans starting at 6.99permonth[4]EVgohasundergoneseveralownershipchanges,beingsoldbyNRGtoVisionRidgePartnersin2016,thentoLSPowerin2020,whichlatermergeditwithaSPAC[3]FinancialPerformanceRevenuegrowthfrom2021to2023:6.99 per month [4] - EVgo has undergone several ownership changes, being sold by NRG to Vision Ridge Partners in 2016, then to LS Power in 2020, which later merged it with a SPAC [3] Financial Performance - Revenue growth from 2021 to 2023: 22 million in 2021, 55millionin2022,and55 million in 2022, and 161 million in 2023, reflecting year-over-year growth rates of 70%, 146%, and 195% respectively [5] - Despite revenue growth, EVgo reported negative adjusted EBITDA of (51million)in2021,(51 million) in 2021, (80 million) in 2022, and (59million)in2023[5]Forthefullyear,EVgoexpectsrevenuetorise5559 million) in 2023 [5] - For the full year, EVgo expects revenue to rise 55%-65% to 250 million-265million,withanegativeadjustedEBITDAof265 million, with a negative adjusted EBITDA of 32 million-38million[7]GrowthProjectionsAnalystsforecastacompoundannualgrowthrate(CAGR)of4438 million [7] Growth Projections - Analysts forecast a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 44% for EVgo's revenue from 2023 to 2026, with adjusted EBITDA expected to turn positive in 2025 and 2026 [8] Competitive Landscape - EVgo faces significant competition from Tesla's Superchargers and other EV charging networks like ChargePoint and Blink Charging [12] - The company has established partnerships with GM and Amazon to enhance its service offerings and expand its market reach [11] Recent Developments - As of the first nine months of 2024, EVgo's revenue increased by 71% year-over-year to 189 million, but it still reported a negative adjusted EBITDA of ($49 million) [15] - The number of operational stalls grew to 3,680, with over 1.2 million customers [15] Market Sentiment - EVgo's stock is perceived as undervalued relative to its growth potential, but the company has increased its outstanding shares by 56% since the SPAC merger [16] - Insider sentiment appears negative, with insiders selling nearly four times as many shares as they bought in the past year, suggesting limited short-term stock appreciation [17]