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Is The Trade Desk Stock a Buy, Sell or Hold at its P/S of 20.78X?
TTDThe Trade Desk(TTD) ZACKS·2024-12-23 17:35

Core Insights - The Trade Desk (TTD) is expecting fourth-quarter 2024 revenues to be at least 756million,indicatingayearoveryeargrowthof25756 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 25% [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTD's fourth-quarter 2024 earnings is set at 58 cents per share, reflecting a growth of 41.46% year over year [4] - TTD's earnings have beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 6.09% [5] Financial Performance - TTD's 2024 revenue estimate is pegged at 2.46 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 26.51%, with earnings expected at 1.65pershare,showingagrowthof30.951.65 per share, showing a growth of 30.95% year over year [14] - The fourth-quarter 2024 revenue estimate has been adjusted to 758.05 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 25.13% [24] Market Position and Strategy - TTD is benefiting from its innovative portfolio, expanding global footprint, advancements in omnichannel ad inventory, and the growing adoption of programmatic advertising [6] - The company has launched Ventura, a new streaming TV operating system aimed at improving user experience and advertising efficiency [16] - TTD's Connected TV (CTV) business is its largest and fastest-growing segment, with AI-powered solutions helping advertisers target potential customers more effectively [26] Partnerships and Collaborations - TTD has a rich partner base, including major companies like Spotify, Disney, NBCU, Walmart, Roku, LG, Fox, and Netflix, which supports its growth prospects [27] - Recent collaborations include Spotify's extension of its partnership with TTD and Roku's adoption of UID2 for enhanced targeting precision [28] Competitive Landscape - The digital advertising industry is highly competitive, dominated by giants like Google and Amazon, which poses challenges for TTD [9] - Increasing regulatory scrutiny around data privacy and shifts in consumer data practices may disrupt traditional audience targeting methods [29] Valuation - TTD's shares are currently trading at a high valuation, with a Price/Sales ratio of 20.78X, significantly above the sector averages of 6.44X and 5.89X [20] - Despite a year-to-date share price increase of 73.7%, outperforming the broader sector's 32% appreciation, concerns remain about the justification of its premium valuation [21][23]