Workflow
Axon Surges 97.5% in 6 Months: Is the Stock Still Worth Buying?
AXONAxon(AXON) ZACKS·2025-01-27 17:01

Core Viewpoint - Axon Enterprise, Inc. has experienced significant stock price appreciation, outperforming both the industry and the S&P 500, driven by strong demand in its TASER segment and strategic investments in technology [1][5][9]. Stock Performance - Axon's shares have surged 97.5% over the past six months, compared to the industry growth of 18.3% and S&P 500's 12.4% [1]. - The stock closed at 610.32,belowits52weekhighof610.32, below its 52-week high of 698.67 and above its 52-week low of 247.04,indicatingsolidupwardmomentum[3].BusinessDriversTheTASERsegmenthasseenarevenueincreaseof32.1247.04, indicating solid upward momentum [3]. Business Drivers - The TASER segment has seen a revenue increase of 32.1% year-over-year in the first nine months of 2024, driven by strong demand for TASER devices and virtual reality training services [5]. - The Software & Sensors segment's revenues increased by 34.2% in the same period, supported by a growing user base and higher average revenue per user [7]. - The introduction of the Axon Body 4 camera in April 2023 has generated significant demand, further bolstering segment growth [8]. Financial Outlook - Axon projects revenues of 2.07 billion for 2024, reflecting a year-over-year growth of approximately 32%, with adjusted EBITDA expected to reach 510million[9].Thecompanystrailing12monthreturnonequity(ROE)standsat20.42510 million [9]. - The company's trailing 12-month return on equity (ROE) stands at 20.42%, significantly higher than the industry average of 10.93% [11]. Earnings Estimates - Earnings estimates for 2024 remain stable at 5.29 per share, while estimates for 2025 have increased by 0.3% to $6.50 per share [14]. Valuation Concerns - Axon's forward 12-month price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 92.48X, considerably higher than the industry average of 38.22X, which may pose risks if market sentiment declines [16]. Strategic Acquisitions - The company has made strategic acquisitions, including Dedrone and Fusus, to enhance its product offerings and expand its market presence [10]. Growth Potential - Robust momentum in the TASER and Software & Sensors segments, along with investments in AI, drones, and robotics, positions the company favorably for future growth [17].