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3M's Turnaround Is Off to a Good Start. Here's Why It's a Buy for 2025 and Beyond.
MMM3M(MMM) The Motley Fool·2025-01-28 02:05

Core Viewpoint - 3M's recent fourth-quarter earnings report indicates a positive outlook for the stock, with management focusing on margin expansion and future growth fundamentals, making it a compelling buy for 2025 [1] Medium-Term Aims - 3M has an investor day scheduled for February 26, where CEO Bill Brown will present the company's medium-term vision and objectives [2] - Management's commentary suggests a positive outlook, with expectations for low single-digit sales growth and improved gross margins [3] Financial Projections - Assuming a 3% annual revenue growth over the next five years, 3M's sales are projected to increase from 24,575millionin2024to24,575 million in 2024 to 28,489 million, a 15.9% change [5] - Gross profit margin is expected to rise from 41.20% to approximately 48%, resulting in a gross profit increase from 10,128millionto10,128 million to 13,675 million, a 35% change [5] - Operating income is projected to grow from 4,822millionto4,822 million to 7,408 million, reflecting a 53.6% increase [5] Margin Improvement Strategies - CEO Bill Brown aims to enhance gross profit margins by reducing the cost of goods sold by 2% annually and improving inventory turnover from 94 days in 2024 to 75 days, potentially freeing up about $1 billion in cash [8] - Management is also focused on rejuvenating R&D operations to drive new product introductions and long-term growth [8] Operational Enhancements - Improvements in inventory management and on-time delivery rates are noted, with on-time in-full deliveries increasing to 88% from 85% in 2023 [9] - The restructuring actions initiated by former CEO Mike Roman have improved operating margins from 18.6% in 2023 to 21.4% in 2024, with further improvements expected to reach 22.7%-23.3% in 2025 [9][10] Investment Consideration - While some investors may prefer to wait for the investor day in February, 3M appears to be an attractive stock due to initial progress in management initiatives and significant room for operational and financial improvement [11]