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Can an Expanding Clientele Push OKTA Stock Further in 2025?
OKTAOkta(OKTA) ZACKS·2025-01-29 18:36

Core Viewpoint - Okta's shares have significantly outperformed the broader market and its industry, indicating strong investor confidence and growth potential [1][5]. Company Performance - Okta's shares have appreciated by 19.2% in the past month, compared to a 0.9% return for the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and a 13.6% appreciation for the Zacks Internet Software and Services industry [1]. - The company exited the third quarter of fiscal 2025 with 19,450 customers and 2.062billionincurrentremainingperformanceobligations,showcasingstrongfuturegrowthprospectsforsubscriptionrevenues[6].Customerswithmorethan2.062 billion in current remaining performance obligations, showcasing strong future growth prospects for subscription revenues [6]. - Customers with more than 100K in Annual Contract Value increased by 8% year over year to 4,705 [6]. Product and Service Strength - Okta's portfolio includes innovative products like Okta identity governance and Okta privileged access, which are in high demand despite a challenging macroeconomic environment [2]. - The introduction of Okta AI capabilities across its Workforce Identity Cloud and Customer Identity Cloud aims to enhance user experiences and protect against cyberattacks [7]. - The company has expanded its Auth0 Free Plan to support 25,000 monthly active users and introduced features such as passwordless authentication and unlimited connections [8]. Market Position and Competitive Advantage - Okta is gaining market share in the cybersecurity domain, competing effectively against major players like Microsoft, IBM, and CyberArk [9]. - Gartner has ranked Okta higher than its competitors in all use cases for Access Management and has recognized it as a leader in the Magic Quadrant for Ability to Execute for three consecutive years [10]. Industry Outlook - The global security market is expected to grow significantly, with revenues projected to reach 200billionby2028,andIdentityandAccessManagement(IAM)isanticipatedtobeoneofthefastestgrowingsegments[12].ThedemandforsecuredremoteaccessandenhancedprotectionduringdigitaltransformationisdrivingthegrowthprospectsforIAM,whichalignswithOktasofferings[13].FinancialProjectionsForQ4fiscal2025,Oktaexpectsrevenuesbetween200 billion by 2028, and Identity and Access Management (IAM) is anticipated to be one of the fastest-growing segments [12]. - The demand for secured remote access and enhanced protection during digital transformation is driving the growth prospects for IAM, which aligns with Okta's offerings [13]. Financial Projections - For Q4 fiscal 2025, Okta expects revenues between 667 million and 669million,reflectingayearoveryeargrowthof1011669 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 10-11% [15]. - The company anticipates fiscal 2025 revenues between 2.595 billion and 2.597billion,indicatinga152.597 billion, indicating a 15% growth over fiscal 2024 [15]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Okta's earnings for fiscal 2025 has increased to 2.77 per share, suggesting a 73.13% growth over fiscal 2024 [17]. Valuation - Okta shares are currently trading at a premium, with a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 5.84X compared to the industry average of 3.87X [20]. - The company holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of A, indicating a strong investment opportunity [23].