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1 Jaw-Dropping Projection That Makes This Chip Stock a Screaming Buy
TSMTSMC(TSM) The Motley Fool·2025-01-31 13:35

Group 1 - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has a strong management team led by CEO C.C. Wei, who has been in the role since 2018 and has a proven track record of meeting or exceeding expectations [2][4] - TSMC is the leading contract chip manufacturer, partnering with major companies like Nvidia, AMD, and Apple, which allows investors to gain exposure to the technology sector without needing to select individual winners [3][4] - The company is well-positioned to anticipate industry trends and order flows, which supports its optimistic growth projections [4] Group 2 - TSMC projects a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of nearly 20% in revenue over the next five years, driven by demand from sectors such as artificial intelligence, smartphones, the Internet of Things, and automotive [5][10] - The CAGR calculation does not imply consistent annual growth, as revenue could fluctuate, but it emphasizes the importance of long-term performance in the cyclical chip industry [6] - AI-related revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 45% during the same period, indicating a shift in TSMC's revenue composition as this segment expands [7] Group 3 - TSMC's future projections depend on the successful development and timely launch of new technologies, including 2nm and 1.6nm chips, with production starting in late 2025 and late 2026, respectively [8] - Despite strong growth prospects, TSMC's stock is currently trading at 21 times forward earnings, which is relatively inexpensive compared to other major tech companies [9][10] - Given the projected 20% CAGR and the long-term growth rate of the S&P 500 at about 10%, TSMC presents a significant investment opportunity and is considered a top stock pick [11]