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2 Quality Dividend Stocks Down Over 40% to Buy Before a Rebound
NKENIKE(NKE) The Motley Fool·2025-02-02 23:05

Core Viewpoint - The stock market's recent climb has led to historically low dividend yields, with the S&P 500 average yield at 1.24%, the lowest since 2000. This environment presents opportunities in retail stocks that offer attractive yields despite weak consumer spending trends [1]. Group 1: Nike - Nike is the leading footwear brand globally, generating 49billionintrailing12monthrevenue,withtwothirdsfromfootwearsales[2].Thecompanyexperiencedan849 billion in trailing 12-month revenue, with two-thirds from footwear sales [2]. - The company experienced an 8% year-over-year decline in sales for the November-ending fiscal second quarter, and its stock has decreased by 57% from its all-time high, while currently offering the highest dividend yield in 15 years [2][5]. - Despite current struggles, Nike's brand remains strong, with high demand for products like Air Jordans, indicating ongoing consumer interest [3]. - The new CEO, Elliott Hill, aims to refocus on sports innovation, which has shown positive results in running footwear sales [4]. - Analysts project full-year earnings to drop to 2.06 from 3.73infiscal2024,butexpectareboundto3.73 in fiscal 2024, but expect a rebound to 2.50 in fiscal 2026, marking a potential low point before recovery [5]. - Nike raised its quarterly dividend by 8% to 0.40,representing780.40, representing 78% of expected earnings for fiscal 2025, with a forward dividend yield of 2.06% at a share price of 77.50 [6]. Group 2: Target - Target has a long-standing history of paying dividends annually since 1967, indicating a resilient business model capable of weathering economic fluctuations [7]. - The company is sensitive to consumer spending trends, with its stock down 47% from its peak, and comparable sales grew only 0.3% year-over-year in the third quarter [8]. - Holiday sales showed improvement, with total sales up 2.8% and comparable sales up 2%, particularly in discretionary categories like apparel and toys [8]. - Analysts expect Target to report earnings of 8.67in2025,slightlydownfromthepreviousyear,butanticipateareboundto8.67 in 2025, slightly down from the previous year, but anticipate a rebound to 9.27 in 2026 [9]. - The current quarterly dividend is 1.12,representing521.12, representing 52% of expected earnings for 2025, resulting in a forward yield of 3.18% at a share price of 140.75 [9].