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Baidu's AI Cloud, Robotaxi Growth And Accelerated Buybacks Position It For Strong 2025: Analyst
BIDUBIDU(BIDU) Benzinga·2025-02-19 20:11

Core Viewpoint - Baidu's stock faced unexpected pressure despite a generally in-line quarter, with significant growth in AI Cloud services, leading to a Buy rating and a 130pricetargetfromBenchmarkanalystFawneJiang[1]Group1:AIandMarketPosition−TheacceleratingadoptionofgenerativeAIinChinaisexpectedtobenefitfull−stackserviceproviderslikeBaidu,withcross−sellingmonetizationopportunitiesinacompetitiveenvironment[2]−Baidu′sdecisiontoopen−sourceitsERNIE4.5seriesandprovidefreeaccesstoERNIEBotisanticipatedtoenhancebroaderadoption[2][5]−TheintegrationofgenerativeAIinsearchisseenasanewmonetizationopportunity,particularlyintransaction−basedverticals[3]Group2:FinancialProjectionsandGrowth−Thefiscal2025Cloudgrowthprojectionhasbeenraisedto20130 price target from Benchmark analyst Fawne Jiang [1] Group 1: AI and Market Position - The accelerating adoption of generative AI in China is expected to benefit full-stack service providers like Baidu, with cross-selling monetization opportunities in a competitive environment [2] - Baidu's decision to open-source its ERNIE 4.5 series and provide free access to ERNIE Bot is anticipated to enhance broader adoption [2][5] - The integration of generative AI in search is seen as a new monetization opportunity, particularly in transaction-based verticals [3] Group 2: Financial Projections and Growth - The fiscal 2025 Cloud growth projection has been raised to 20%, up from 17%, reflecting expected growth in generative AI adoption [4] - Projected fiscal 2025 revenue is 19.033 billion with an EPS of 11.81,andforfiscal2026,revenueisexpectedtoreach11.81, and for fiscal 2026, revenue is expected to reach 20.098 billion with an EPS of $12.95 [8] Group 3: Strategic Initiatives and Capital Allocation - Baidu plans to focus on scaling its domestic robotaxi operations and exploring asset-light operating models while expanding its international presence [6] - The company is committed to advancing its AI capabilities and has pledged to accelerate its share buyback program in fiscal 2025 to enhance shareholder returns [7]