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Walmart Vs. Target Stock: Which is the Better Investment as Q4 Results Roll Out
WMTWalmart(WMT) ZACKS·2025-02-22 00:36

Core Insights - Walmart's Q4 sales increased by 4% year over year to 180.55billion,slightlyexceedingestimatesof180.55 billion, slightly exceeding estimates of 180 billion, indicating continued market share growth [2][3] - Walmart's Q4 EPS rose 10% to 0.66,surpassingexpectationsof0.66, surpassing expectations of 0.65, marking the 11th consecutive quarter of exceeding earnings expectations [3][4] - Target's Q4 sales are expected to decline by 3% to 30.73billion,withearningsprojectedtodropto30.73 billion, with earnings projected to drop to 2.24 per share from 2.98ayearago[5][9]WalmartsPerformanceWalmartstotalsalesforfiscal2025increasedby52.98 a year ago [5][9] Walmart's Performance - Walmart's total sales for fiscal 2025 increased by 5% to 680.99 billion, with annual earnings rising 13% to 2.51pershare[6][9]ForFY26,Walmartanticipatesconsolidatednetsalesgrowthofapproximately342.51 per share [6][9] - For FY26, Walmart anticipates consolidated net sales growth of approximately 3-4%, with EPS guidance of 2.50-2.60,belowthecurrentconsensusof2.60, below the current consensus of 2.74 [7][9] Target's Outlook - Target's total sales for FY25 are expected to dip roughly 1% to 106.38billion,withannualearningsprojectedtodecreaseby3106.38 billion, with annual earnings projected to decrease by 3% to 8.69 per share [9] - Target's sales are forecasted to stabilize and increase by 2% in FY26, with earnings expected to rebound by 7% to $9.32 per share [9] Stock Performance - Walmart's stock has increased over 60% in the last year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 21% gain, while Target's stock has declined by 17% [10][13] - Target's stock is currently trading at its lowest valuation in over a decade at 13.7X forward earnings, compared to Walmart's 35.4X [13][15] Investment Considerations - Investors may find Target's stock appealing due to its lower P/E valuation compared to Walmart, while Walmart's growth trajectory remains strong [15]