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Taiwan Semiconductor Trading at Discount: Should You Buy the Stock?
TSMTSMC(TSM) ZACKS·2025-02-25 16:00

Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has demonstrated strong performance with a stock increase of 46.7% over the past year, while still being attractively valued with a forward P/E ratio of 20.22, slightly below the industry average of 20.92 [1][3] Financial Performance - TSMC reported Q4 2024 revenues of 26.88billion,a3726.88 billion, a 37% year-over-year increase, exceeding estimates by nearly 504 million [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) for Q4 2024 were 2.24,surpassingexpectationsby8cents[5]Advancedprocesstechnologies(7nmandbelow)contributed742.24, surpassing expectations by 8 cents [5] - Advanced process technologies (7nm and below) contributed 74% of wafer revenues, with high-performance computing (HPC) accounting for 53% of total revenues [7] Future Outlook - TSMC expects Q1 2025 revenues between 25 billion and 25.8billion,indicatinga34.725.8 billion, indicating a 34.7% year-over-year increase at the midpoint [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TSMC's 2025 EPS is 9.20, reflecting a 30.7% year-over-year increase [9] AI and HPC Demand - The ongoing AI boom positions TSMC as a key player in a multi-year growth cycle, with AI-related revenues tripling in 2024 and expected to double again in 2025 [10][11] - TSMC forecasts a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 40% for AI-related revenues over the next five years [12] Capacity Expansion and Global Strategy - TSMC plans to invest between 38billionand38 billion and 42 billion in 2025, with 70% allocated to advanced process technologies [13] - The company is expanding globally with high-volume production in Arizona and additional fabs in Japan and Germany, expecting limited impact on gross margins from these investments [14] Investment Recommendation - TSMC's strong market position, leadership in AI and HPC manufacturing, and strategic investments make it a compelling buy at current levels, presenting an attractive entry point for long-term investors [15][16]