Core Insights - Amazon and Walmart expressed caution in their Q1 2025 outlooks due to inflation and slowing consumer spending, with Amazon projecting revenue between 155.5 billion, below the $158 billion forecast, and Walmart forecasting U.S. sales growth of 3% to 4%, below analyst expectations [1][2] Group 1: Economic Factors - The weak guidance from both companies is attributed to inflation, weak consumer demand, foreign exchange challenges, tariffs, and a shift in consumer focus towards essentials, leading to softer demand for discretionary items [2][3] - Retailers are experiencing uncertainty due to changing policies, particularly tariffs, which complicates demand forecasting and raises cost implications for businesses [3] Group 2: Consumer Behavior - Consumers are prioritizing essentials like groceries and health products while reducing spending on discretionary items such as apparel and electronics, resulting in a 'soft' Q1 for both Amazon and Walmart [4] - Tighter budgets are prompting retailers to focus on essential promotions and value-driven marketing, with fewer discounts on discretionary goods due to weaker demand [4] Group 3: Amazon Highlights - Amazon launched its generative AI-powered Alexa+ but faced challenges in integrating AI, reflecting broader industry difficulties [5] - The company discontinued its social commerce feature, Inspire, due to struggles with user engagement and a shift towards its AI-powered shopping assistant, Rufus [6][7] Group 4: Walmart Highlights - Walmart reported a 20% increase in U.S. eCommerce sales, driven by store-fulfilled pickup and delivery services, with global eCommerce growing 16% [9] - The company is streamlining its post-audit process by consolidating to a single auditor, which aims to increase transparency but raises concerns about efficiency [11] - Suppliers may face challenges with the new web portal for post-audit processes, potentially leading to unnoticed claims [12]
From Cautious Consumers to Tariff Jitters: Walmart and Amazon Face Q1 Headwinds