Core Insights - Semiconductor stocks have experienced significant growth, driven by increased demand for chips used in AI applications [1] - The PHLX Semiconductor Sector index has outperformed the Nasdaq-100 Technology Sector index, gaining 44% compared to 29% over the past three years [2] - Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) has seen its shares rise 69% in the same period, with a current market cap of 225 billion [9] - The company's five-year average sales multiple of 9 could lead to a market cap exceeding $2 trillion if similar multiples are applied in the future [9][10] - TSMC's foundry market share increased by three percentage points in Q3 2024 compared to the previous year, indicating a strengthening position in the market [11] Competitive Landscape - TSMC aims to maintain its lead over Samsung, the second-largest foundry with a 12% market share, by advancing to a 2-nanometer manufacturing node, expected to begin production in late 2025 [12] - Planned improvements to TSMC's 2nm technology are expected to enhance computing performance and efficiency, solidifying its market position [13] - TSMC's current earnings multiple of 27 is lower than the Nasdaq-100 index's multiple of 34, suggesting potential for valuation appreciation [13]
Prediction: This Magnificent Artificial Intelligence (AI) Chip Stock Will Be Worth $2 Trillion in 5 Years