Factors to Note Ahead of American Public's Q4 Earnings Release

Core Viewpoint - American Public Education, Inc. (APEI) is expected to report its fourth-quarter 2024 results on March 6, with a focus on revenue growth and enrollment trends across its segments [1]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, APEI's earnings per share (EPS) exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 300%, while revenues fell short by 0.3%. Year-over-year, revenues increased by 1.5% and EPS rose by 100% [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the fourth-quarter EPS is stable at 54 cents, indicating a 15.6% decrease from the previous year's EPS of 64 cents. Revenue estimates are pegged at $161.6 million, suggesting a 5.7$81.6 million and by 20.6% to $19 million, respectively. RU segment revenues are predicted to grow by 5.4$55.4 million [7]. Margin and Income Projections - APEI is expected to report net income between $9 million and$11 million, down from $11.5 million a year ago, translating to EPS between 47 cents and 56 cents [9]. - Adjusted EBITDA is projected to be between$23 million and $26 million, compared to$25.7 million a year ago, with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to decline by 70 basis points to 16.1% [9]. Earnings Prediction Model - The current model does not predict a definitive earnings beat for APEI, as the Earnings ESP stands at 0.00% and the company holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [10][11].