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UNM Stock Trading at a Discount to Industry at 1.32X: Time to Hold?
UNMUnum(UNM) ZACKS·2025-03-07 14:45

Core Viewpoint - Unum Group (UNM) is trading at a discount compared to its industry peers, with a forward price-to-book value of 1.32X, lower than the industry average of 1.89X, indicating potential investment opportunity [1] Financial Performance - Unum Group has a market capitalization of 14.04billionandanaveragetradingvolumeof1.3millionsharesoverthelastthreemonths[2]Thecompanyhasasolidtrackrecordofbeatingearningsestimatesinthreeofthelastfourquarters,withanaveragebeatof2.9414.04 billion and an average trading volume of 1.3 million shares over the last three months [2] - The company has a solid track record of beating earnings estimates in three of the last four quarters, with an average beat of 2.94% [2] Stock Performance - UNM shares have gained 8.8% year-to-date, outperforming the industry growth of 4.7% and the Finance sector's growth of 3.5%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has declined by 0.9% [4][5] - The stock closed at 79.46, near its 52-week high of 83.96,andistradingaboveits50dayand200daysimplemovingaveragesof83.96, and is trading above its 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages of 75.22 and 63.06,respectively,indicatingstrongupwardmomentum[6]GrowthProjectionsTheZacksConsensusEstimateforUnumGroups2025revenuesis63.06, respectively, indicating strong upward momentum [6] Growth Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Unum Group's 2025 revenues is 13.44 billion, reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 4.3% [10] - For 2026, the consensus estimates indicate an increase of 8.7% in earnings per share and 4.2% in revenues compared to 2024 estimates [10] - Earnings have grown by 12.9% over the past five years, outperforming the industry average of 3.6% [10] Business Drivers - Premiums are expected to grow due to healthy in-force block growth and higher sales, with projected sales growth of 5-10% and premium growth of 4-7% in 2025 [11] - Unum Group anticipates adjusted operating return on equity (ROE) between 21% and 23% from core business in 2025, with long-term sales growth expected in the range of 8-12% [11] Operational Strength - Unum Group is positioned for growth through operational excellence in its largest segments, Unum U.S. and Colonial Life, supported by strong sales trends and new product line growth [12] - Management estimates sales growth of 5-10% and premium growth of 3.6% for Unum U.S. in 2025, and similar growth expectations for Colonial Life [13] Dividend Policy - Unum Group has a strong history of enhancing shareholder value through consistent dividend increases, with a 15% hike effective in Q3 2024, marking the 15th increase in the last 14 years [14] - The current dividend yield stands at 2.1%, making it attractive for yield-seeking investors [14] Conclusion - Favorable sales trends, strong persistency, and a solid capital position are expected to benefit Unum Group in the long term, making it a wise hold for investors [15]