Core Insights - Biogen's key multiple sclerosis drugs, including Tecfidera and Tysabri, along with Spinraza for spinal muscular atrophy, are facing declining sales due to increased competition, leading to a 2% decline in total revenues in 2024, with a projected mid-single-digit percentage decline in 2025 [1][4][6] Group 1: Revenue Declines - Biogen's global MS revenues declined by 7% in 2024, with expectations of a steeper decline in 2025 due to the potential entry of Tysabri biosimilars in the U.S. and generic versions of Tecfidera in Europe [4] - Spinraza sales fell nearly 10% in 2024, attributed to competitive pressure and decreased demand, with little improvement anticipated in 2025 [4][10] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The launch of multiple generic versions of Tecfidera in North America, Brazil, and Europe has negatively impacted its revenues [3] - Regulatory approvals for biosimilars of Tysabri in the U.S. and Europe are contributing to the competitive pressure faced by Biogen [3][5] Group 3: New Drug Potential - Biogen is optimistic about new drugs like Leqembi for Alzheimer's, Skyclarys for Friedreich's ataxia, and Zurzuvae for depression, which are seen as potential drivers for long-term growth [2][8] - Leqembi has shown sequential improvement in sales since its launch, with expectations for continued growth in 2025 [7][8] Group 4: Market Challenges - The FDA approval of Eli Lilly's Alzheimer's drug Kisunla poses significant competition to Leqembi [5] - Foreign exchange headwinds are expected to negatively impact 2025 revenues by 1%, alongside a projected 100 million impact from the redesign of Medicare Part D [6] Group 5: Pipeline Developments - Biogen faced setbacks in its pipeline, including the discontinuation of Zurzuvae's development for major depressive disorder, which had a larger market potential than its current indication [5] - The acquisition of Reata Pharmaceuticals added Skyclarys to Biogen's portfolio, which is experiencing strong launch trends [9]
Can BIIB's New Drugs Revive Growth as Multiple Sclerosis Sales Fall?