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Could RTX Be the Hidden Gem That Boosts Your Portfolio?
RTXRaytheon Technologies(RTX) The Motley Fool·2025-03-15 07:05

Core Viewpoint - RTX is positioned favorably in the commercial aerospace and defense sectors, benefiting from increased flight departures, production ramps from Boeing and Airbus, and heightened defense spending due to geopolitical tensions [1] RTX's Valuation - RTX stock appears undervalued based on Wall Street analyst consensus, with a price-to-free cash flow (FCF) multiple suggesting good value at around 20 times FCF for a mature industrial company [2][5] - Current market cap is 171billion,withprojectedEBITgrowthfrom171 billion, with projected EBIT growth from 8.9 billion in 2023 to 13billionin2027,andFCFexpectedtorisefrom13 billion in 2027, and FCF expected to rise from 5.5 billion in 2023 to 9.9billionin2027[3]TheforwardpricetoFCFmultiplefor2025is23.9times,butadjustingforapotentialcontaminationissueinthegearedturbofanenginecouldpresentamoreattractivevaluationof20.5timesFCF[4]NeartoMediumTermOutlookRTXhasasubstantialbacklogof9.9 billion in 2027 [3] - The forward price-to-FCF multiple for 2025 is 23.9 times, but adjusting for a potential contamination issue in the geared turbofan engine could present a more attractive valuation of 20.5 times FCF [4] Near- to Medium-Term Outlook - RTX has a substantial backlog of 218 billion, including a defense backlog of $93 billion, indicating strong growth potential [6] - The commercial aerospace sector is expected to see increased production from Airbus and Boeing, with a projected 10% growth in the commercial after-market in 2025 [7] Industry Dynamics - Defense companies typically command a valuation premium due to stable government contracts, while commercial aerospace firms benefit from long-term income streams from servicing aircraft [5] - The U.S. defense budget may face cuts, which could impact future orders and long-term growth, despite current robust sales growth outlook [8][9][10] Investment Consideration - RTX presents an attractive investment opportunity with good return potential, but uncertainties regarding future orders may limit significant outperformance [11]