Adient(ADNT) CNBC·2025-03-19 15:45Core Insights - Proposed tariffs by President Trump on goods from Mexico and Canada are expected to impact automotive suppliers more severely than automakers, potentially leading to broader industry disruptions [1][4] - Compliance with the USMCA is crucial for avoiding tariffs, with a significant portion of vehicle parts not meeting the stringent standards [2][3] Industry Impact - The automotive supply chain is already fragile post-COVID, facing challenges such as high interest rates, labor shortages, and declining profits, which could be exacerbated by new tariffs [4][5] - Major publicly traded suppliers have seen stock declines, with companies like American Axle & Manufacturing Holdings and Magna International down by double digits this year [5] Compliance Statistics - In 2024, only 63% of motor vehicle parts imported from Mexico were compliant with USMCA standards, compared to 92.1% of motor vehicles [6][12] - For Canada, 74.6% of motor vehicle parts and 96.9% of vehicles were imported tariff-free under USMCA in 2024 [6] Tariff Effects - The proposed tariffs could lead to a 25% increase in costs for non-compliant parts, which suppliers are unlikely to absorb, potentially leading to higher consumer prices for vehicles [13][17] - A survey indicated that 97% of parts makers expressed concerns about financial distress due to tariffs, particularly affecting smaller suppliers [15] Supply Chain Resilience - The supply chain is described as resilient yet fragile, with significant challenges in quickly adapting to major policy shifts [8][9] - Executives from various companies, including Forvia, have indicated that the industry cannot sustain the proposed tariffs without passing costs onto consumers [17]