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专访华泰证券易峘:中国具备工程师红利,AI相关投资或有效推动GDP增长|大咖谈经济
601688HTSC(601688) 21世纪经济报道·2025-03-27 09:31

Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce is promoting a consumption boost plan focusing on upgrading product consumption, expanding service consumption, cultivating new consumption types, and innovating consumption scenarios [1][5] - Current consumer demand is stabilizing, particularly in the restaurant and service sectors, with a notable increase in retail sales of communication devices, furniture, and home appliances [3][4] - The "trade-in" policy is expected to significantly boost retail sales growth, with estimates suggesting it could add approximately 0.9-1.2 percentage points to annual retail sales growth [4][6] Group 2 - The plan includes measures to lower housing provident fund loan rates and provide interest subsidies on consumer loans, which may improve residents' cash flow and income expectations [6][7] - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, which could alleviate its drag on economic growth, while AI-related investments are anticipated to enter a rapid growth phase, potentially driving GDP growth [2][9] - The government aims for a 5% growth target for the year, with a focus on stabilizing domestic demand and supporting the transition from export-driven to consumption-driven economic growth [8][9]