Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About McKesson (MCK): Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on McKesson (MCK), and highlights the potential misalignment of interests between brokerage firms and retail investors [1][4][9]. Group 1: Brokerage Recommendations for McKesson - McKesson has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.38, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 16 brokerage firms [2]. - Out of the 16 recommendations, 13 are Strong Buy, accounting for 81.3% of all recommendations [2]. Group 2: Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Relying solely on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable, as studies suggest they often fail to guide investors toward stocks with the highest potential for price appreciation [4]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [5][9]. - The interests of brokerage firms may not align with those of retail investors, leading to a lack of insight into future stock price movements [6]. Group 3: Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank is presented as a more reliable indicator of a stock's near-term price performance, classifying stocks into five groups from Strong Buy to Strong Sell [7]. - Unlike the ABR, the Zacks Rank is based on earnings estimate revisions, which have shown a strong correlation with near-term stock price movements [10]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than the ABR, making it a timely tool for predicting future stock prices [11]. Group 4: Current Earnings Estimates for McKesson - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for McKesson's earnings for the current year remains unchanged at $32.76, indicating steady analyst views on the company's earnings prospects [12]. - The unchanged consensus estimate has resulted in a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) for McKesson, suggesting caution despite the Buy-equivalent ABR [13].