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年营收增25%亏损收窄超7成,第四范式离盈利还有多远
06682FOURTH PARADIGM(06682) 21世纪经济报道·2025-04-11 04:12

Core Insights - Fourth Paradigm reported a revenue of 5.26 billion yuan in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 25.1%, with a gross profit of 2.245 billion yuan, up 13.4%, and a narrowed net loss of 269 million yuan, a reduction of 640 million yuan compared to 2023, representing a 70.4% improvement [1] - The company has achieved a consistent reduction in losses for four consecutive years since 2021 and is now the leading pure AI enterprise in both Hong Kong and A-share markets based on revenue [1] - Third-party institutions predict that the company is likely to achieve breakeven by 2025, driven by stable revenue growth, a clear trend of loss reduction, and new business opportunities from AI Agent [1] Business Segments - The enterprise services segment is the core business of Fourth Paradigm, which includes the Prophet AI platform, SHIFT intelligent solutions, and AIGS services [2] - The Prophet AI platform generated 3.676 billion yuan in revenue in 2024, a 46.7% increase year-on-year, and has maintained its leadership in the Chinese machine learning market for six consecutive years, with an average customer revenue of 20 million yuan and a net revenue retention rate (NDR) of 110% [2] - The platform's strategic advantages are becoming more evident, with a customer retention rate exceeding 90%, attributed to strong capabilities and the establishment of usage habits [2] Technological Advancements - Fourth Paradigm is expanding its platform capabilities through enterprise-level Agent solutions, with applications in various verticals such as financial risk control, equipment operation, and smart learning [3] - The company launched an enterprise-level Agent development platform in 2024, collaborating with partners to create general-purpose Agent solutions [3] Market Potential - The AI market is experiencing significant growth, but the current penetration rate remains low, indicating substantial upward potential [4] - Fourth Paradigm's business landscape is evolving, with the introduction of the DeepSeek model and partnerships with major companies for private deployment of AI models [5] Product Innovations - The company has developed an integrated AI model inference solution, SageOne IA, in collaboration with Huawei, achieving full-chain domestic production from chips to services [5] - The SageOne IA solution enhances GPU utilization by over 30% and improves inference performance by 5-10 times [5] Future Growth Areas - Fourth Paradigm is targeting the edge AI market, which is expected to enter a significant development phase by 2025 [7] - The launch of the ModelHub AIoT solution allows users to deploy distilled models easily on the edge, catering to both industrial and consumer sectors [7] - The company has established a consumer electronics brand, Phancy, focusing on providing integrated AI solutions for various smart terminal products [7][8] Financial Outlook - The combination of steady growth in enterprise services and breakthroughs in consumer electronics has created a "dual-engine" growth model for the company [8] - Fourth Paradigm is compared to Palantir, with a significantly lower price-to-sales (PS) ratio, indicating potential undervaluation [8] - With the acceleration of AI Agent commercialization and the expected explosion of the edge AI market, 2025 may mark the company's first profitable year [8]