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This Growth Stock Could Be the Best Investment of the Decade
MELIMercadoLibre(MELI) The Motley Fool·2025-04-12 07:32

Core Viewpoint - MercadoLibre is positioned as a strong growth opportunity in the e-commerce sector of Latin America, with significant potential for future gains despite recent market volatility [1][2]. Group 1: Growth Potential - MercadoLibre has experienced substantial growth, with a revenue compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 55% from 2019 to 2024, and the number of annual unique buyers increasing from 44 million to 100 million during the same period [4]. - The company has established a strong foothold in 19 Latin American countries, primarily serving customers in Argentina, Brazil, and Mexico [3]. - Analysts project a revenue CAGR of 22% from 2024 to 2027, indicating continued growth potential as internet penetration and income levels rise in the region [6]. Group 2: Profitability - MercadoLibre achieved consistent profitability on a GAAP basis in 2021, with net income growing at a CAGR of 184% in USD terms over the subsequent three years [7]. - The company's profits are driven by a shift towards more profitable products, expansion of higher-margin services, and operational efficiencies that reduce costs [8]. - Analysts expect net income to continue rising at a CAGR of 31% from 2024 to 2027, reflecting ongoing profitability improvements [7]. Group 3: Valuation - As of the latest data, MercadoLibre trades at 1,826pershare,valuedat38timesthisyearsearningsand27timesnextyearsearnings,whichisrelativelyreasonablecomparedtoAmazonsvaluation[9].Thestocksvaluationmaybeimpactedbyinflationarypressuresandpoliticaluncertaintiesinitscoremarkets,whichcouldcompressneartermvaluations[10].Group4:FutureOutlookIfMercadoLibremeetsanalystsexpectationsandachievesarobustearningspershareCAGRof201,826 per share, valued at 38 times this year's earnings and 27 times next year's earnings, which is relatively reasonable compared to Amazon's valuation [9]. - The stock's valuation may be impacted by inflationary pressures and political uncertainties in its core markets, which could compress near-term valuations [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook - If MercadoLibre meets analysts' expectations and achieves a robust earnings per share CAGR of 20% through 2027, the stock could potentially double to approximately 3,646 per share by early 2030 [11]. - The company is viewed as a strong investment opportunity for patient investors willing to navigate market volatility and uncertainties [12].