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Down 89%, Should You Buy the Dip on Walgreens Boots Alliance?
WBAWalgreens Boots Alliance(WBA) The Motley Fool·2025-04-12 14:00

Core Viewpoint - Walgreens Boots Alliance is in a pending acquisition with Sycamore Partners, which could provide investors with a potential profit of up to 36% from the current share price [1][2]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition deal stipulates that Walgreens shareholders will receive 11.45pershareincash,whilethecurrenttradingpriceis11.45 per share in cash, while the current trading price is 10.60, indicating an 8% difference [3]. - There is a provision for shareholders to receive an additional amount of up to 3pershare,dependingonthesaleofWalgreensdebtandprimarycareassets,potentiallyraisingthetotalpayoutto3 per share, depending on the sale of Walgreens' debt and primary care assets, potentially raising the total payout to 14.45 per share, representing a 36% profit from the current price [4]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The stock price gap exists because Walgreens traded at 8.85beforethebuyoutreports,andthemarkethasadjustedtotheacquisitionterms,indicatingabeliefthatthedealislikelytoclose[5].Thecurrentsharepricereflectsahigherlikelihoodofthedealclosingcomparedtoitspreannouncementlevel,butuncertaintiesremainuntilthedealisfinalized[6].Group3:InvestmentConsiderationsThe368.85 before the buyout reports, and the market has adjusted to the acquisition terms, indicating a belief that the deal is likely to close [5]. - The current share price reflects a higher likelihood of the deal closing compared to its pre-announcement level, but uncertainties remain until the deal is finalized [6]. Group 3: Investment Considerations - The 36% return is considered a best-case scenario, and the final payout could be lower, influenced by market volatility and the appetite for Walgreens' debt and assets [7]. - Investors are advised to focus on the baseline buyout price of 11.45, with the 8% gap being a more conservative target, as a failed deal could lead to a drop back to the pre-announcement price of $8.85 or lower [8].