Prologis(PLD) ZACKS·2025-04-15 16:15Core Viewpoint - Prologis is expected to report its first-quarter 2025 results on April 16, with analysts and investors keen to evaluate its performance amid current economic conditions [1] Company Performance - In the last reported quarter, Prologis achieved an 8.70% surprise in core funds from operations (FFO) per share, driven by increased rental revenues and strong leasing activity, although high interest expenses posed challenges [2] - Over the past four quarters, Prologis exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for FFO per share three times, with an average beat of 3.46% [2] Industry Overview - The U.S. industrial real estate market demonstrated resilience in Q1 2025, with steady demand despite tariff uncertainties, although vacancy rates rose and rent growth moderated [3] - Net absorption for the first quarter was 23.1 million square feet, matching the previous year's level but down from 42.4 million square feet in Q4 [4] - The overall vacancy rate increased by 30 basis points to 7%, the highest since 2014, indicating a shift towards a more balanced market [5] - Asking rents have flattened, with a year-over-year growth of 4.3%, while the national average rent remained stable at 1.94 billion, reflecting a 5.89% year-over-year increase [10] - Average occupancy is projected at 95.5%, indicating an 80 basis points decrease from the prior quarter, while same-store net operating income is expected to rise by 3.7% year over year [10] - Interest expenses are anticipated to increase by 13.3% year over year in the first quarter [10] Analyst Sentiment - Analysts have not revised the Zacks Consensus Estimate for first-quarter FFO per share, which remains at $1.38, suggesting a 7.81% year-over-year increase [11] - Prologis holds a Zacks Rank of 3 and an Earnings ESP of +0.21%, indicating potential for an FFO beat this quarter [12]