聚合顺(605166)2024年报点评报告：下游需求景气 新产能稳步投放打开成长空间

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a total operating revenue of 7.168 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.11%, with a total profit of 422 million yuan, up 76.68%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 300 million yuan, an increase of 52.66% [1] Revenue Breakdown - Nylon fiber products are the main revenue contributors, with the total operating revenue from nylon chip products at 7.167 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.17%, and a gross margin of 8.07%. The revenue from nylon fiber, engineering plastics, and film products was 4.754 billion yuan, 2.316 billion yuan, and 76 million yuan, accounting for 66.34%, 32.32%, and 1.06% respectively [2] - Domestic and foreign sales amounted to 6.762 billion yuan and 405 million yuan, representing 94.35% and 5.65% of total sales, with foreign customers concentrated in Southeast Asia, Europe, South America, and Oceania [2] Capacity Expansion and Development - The company has established four core bases in Tengzhou, Zibo, Changde, and its headquarters in Hangzhou, with a total existing capacity of 582,000 tons and 444,000 tons under construction. The production volume during the reporting period was over 570,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 22.17%, and sales volume was over 560,000 tons, up 18.24% [2] - The second phase of the 180,000-ton nylon 6 production line in Tengzhou is expected to enter trial production in Q4 2024, with additional projects in Hangzhou, Changde, and Zibo gradually advancing, which will enhance the company's capacity and operational development [2] Market Demand and Profit Forecast - The demand for PA6 is steadily growing, with the apparent consumption of PA6 chips reaching 6.34 million tons in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 24%. The growth rates for PA6 in engineering plastics and fiber fields were approximately 28% and 22% respectively [3] - The company is expected to see net profits attributable to shareholders of 421 million yuan, 511 million yuan, and 628 million yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding PE ratios of 7.8, 6.4, and 5.2 times. The company is positioned as a leading player in the nylon chip industry, with several technologies at a domestic leading level [3]