Alaska Air Group (ALK) May Report Negative Earnings: Know the Trend Ahead of Next Week's Release

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Alaska Air Group (ALK) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings driven by higher revenues for the quarter ending March 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is expected on April 23, 2025, with a consensus estimate of a quarterly loss of $0.72 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of +21.7$3.19 billion, up 42.9% from the previous year [3][2]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 13.93% over the last 30 days, indicating a bearish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4][10]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -3.40%. This indicates a challenging environment for Alaska Air to beat the consensus EPS estimate [10][11]. Historical Performance - Alaska Air has a history of exceeding consensus EPS estimates, having beaten expectations in the last four quarters, including a significant surprise of +106.38% in the most recent quarter [12][13]. Conclusion - Despite a strong historical performance, Alaska Air does not currently appear to be a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, and investors should consider other factors before making investment decisions [16].