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AMD stock price analysis after the $245 billion wipeout
AMDAMD(AMD) Invezz·2025-04-17 09:11

Group 1: Stock Performance - AMD stock price has dropped significantly, resulting in a market cap decline from 379billionin2024to379 billion in 2024 to 134 billion today, a total loss of 245billion[1]ThestockhasretreatedtoitslowestlevelsinceMay2023,indicatingaprolongeddowntrend[1]Group2:MarketandTradeDynamicsThedeclineinAMDssharepriceisattributedtoescalatingtradetensionsbetweentheUnitedStatesandChina,includingapauseinBoeingdeliveriesorderedbyBeijing[2]TheTrumpadministrationsrequestforchipcompaniestolimitsalesoflessadvancedproductstoChinahasfurtherimpactedAMD[2]Group3:BusinessImpactandRevenueNVIDIAhasprojecteda245 billion [1] - The stock has retreated to its lowest level since May 2023, indicating a prolonged downtrend [1] Group 2: Market and Trade Dynamics - The decline in AMD's share price is attributed to escalating trade tensions between the United States and China, including a pause in Boeing deliveries ordered by Beijing [2] - The Trump administration's request for chip companies to limit sales of less advanced products to China has further impacted AMD [2] Group 3: Business Impact and Revenue - NVIDIA has projected a 5.5 billion impact on its business due to trade curbs, and AMD has also indicated that these restrictions will significantly affect its operations this year [3] - Concerns about demand from data centers are emerging, with large companies like Microsoft pausing operations, which may extend to others like Amazon and Google [4] Group 4: Segment Performance - AMD's data center business is a key growth driver, with revenue increasing by 69% to 3.8billioninthefourthquarter,whileoperatingincomereached3.8 billion in the fourth quarter, while operating income reached 1.157 billion [6] - The client segment, which includes Ryzen chips, saw a revenue increase of 58% to 2.3billion,butrevenuefromgamingandembeddedbusinessesfellby592.3 billion, but revenue from gaming and embedded businesses fell by 59% and 13%, respectively [7] Group 5: Valuation Metrics - AMD is currently considered undervalued, with a forward P/E ratio of 34.5, significantly lower than its five-year average of 94, and a non-GAAP PE ratio of 19, below its historical level of 50 [8] Group 6: Technical Analysis - The AMD share price has fallen below critical support levels, including 133 and $93.56, with indicators suggesting a potential continued decline [12][13]