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Affirm vs. PayPal: Which Fintech Stock Should You Invest in Now?
AFRMAffirm(AFRM) ZACKS·2025-04-17 14:50

Core Viewpoint - Affirm Holdings, Inc. and PayPal Holdings, Inc. are significant players in the fintech sector, each reshaping consumer payment methods with innovative solutions. PayPal is expanding its ecosystem, while Affirm is establishing itself in the buy now, pay later (BNPL) market, appealing to modern consumers [1][2]. Group 1: Affirm Holdings, Inc. - Affirm is a major player in the rapidly growing BNPL segment, offering transparent payment terms and zero hidden fees, which attract younger consumers [3][4]. - The company has a growing base of 21 million active consumers and 337,000 active merchants, indicating a robust ecosystem [4]. - Affirm is diversifying into broader financial services, developing debit products, and exploring banking integrations, which expands its addressable market and revenue streams [5]. - The company reported cash and cash equivalents of 1.2billion,an18.51.2 billion, an 18.5% increase from the previous fiscal year, and generated 312 million in net cash from operations, up from 74.3millionyearoveryear[7].Analystsprojectayearoveryearsalesgrowthof36.974.3 million year-over-year [7]. - Analysts project a year-over-year sales growth of 36.9% and EPS growth of 96.4% for Affirm in fiscal 2025, with positive trends in EPS estimates [12]. - Affirm's stock gained 30.8% over the past year, reflecting significant volatility but potential upside for risk-tolerant investors [14]. Group 2: PayPal Holdings, Inc. - PayPal is a well-established leader in digital payments with 434 million active users, including services like Venmo and cryptocurrency trading [8]. - Despite its scale, PayPal's growth has slowed, facing competition from platforms like Square and Affirm, and its growth prospects are less exciting compared to Affirm's [9][11]. - PayPal's cash and cash equivalents decreased by nearly 28% to 6.6 billion, while long-term debt rose to 9.9billion,althoughcashflowimprovedto9.9 billion, although cash flow improved to 7.5 billion from $4.8 billion year-over-year [11]. - Analysts forecast modest growth for PayPal, with a projected sales increase of 3.7% and EPS growth of 7.5% for 2025, with declining trends in EPS estimates [12]. - PayPal's stock has been more stable, reflecting its mature business model, but it has seen a 3% decline over the past year [14]. Group 3: Valuation and Investment Outlook - Affirm is trading at a higher price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 3.43 compared to PayPal's 1.77, indicating market optimism about Affirm's growth potential [17]. - While Affirm presents higher risk, it also offers higher potential rewards, especially with its expansion strategies [17]. - PayPal is viewed as a safer investment for conservative investors, but with a lower growth ceiling compared to Affirm [17]. - In conclusion, Affirm is seen as a more promising investment due to its growth potential in the BNPL sector, while PayPal offers stability and a proven track record [19].